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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Anderlecht
U U S U S
3–0
Full-time
Standard
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,2
0,6
Scored
1,3
0,4
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,84 xG 1,59
55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 8. · Standard 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 8 5 1 2 +5 +11.9 16
2 Charleroi 8 4 2 2 +6 +4.9 14
3 Antwerp 5 4 0 1 +10 +2.5 12
4 Gent 7 4 0 3 +6 -1.8 12
5 St. Gilloise 7 3 3 1 +5 +6.4 12
6 Dender 8 3 3 2 +0 -0.9 12
7 Club Brugge 6 3 2 1 +6 +5.9 11
8 Anderlecht 6 2 4 0 +3 +2.6 10
9 Standard 5 2 2 1 +1 -3.9 8
10 Westerlo 7 2 2 3 -1 +1.4 8
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 1 4 2 -2 +1.0 7
12 Mechelen 6 2 1 3 -2 -1.9 7
13 Kortrijk 8 2 1 5 -9 -5.6 7
14 St Truiden 6 1 2 3 -8 -5.2 5
15 Cercle Brugge 6 1 1 4 -8 -8.3 4
16 Beerschot VA 8 0 2 6 -12 -9.1 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Standard
1–0 J. Šimić
Y. Verschaeren
9′
2–0 K. Dolberg
M. Stroeykens
30′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Calut
↦ B. Šutalo
54′
🟨 Ibe Hautekiet
Yari Verschaeren ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
67′
67′
🔁 S. Alexandropoulos
↦ M. Bulat
S. Edozie 🔁
↦ T. Degreef
69′
L. Vázquez 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
79′
A. Dreyer 🔁
↦ T. Leoni
79′
Jan-Carlo Simić 🟨
83′
84′
🔁 L. Kuavita
↦ I. Price
84′
🔁 M. Badamosi
↦ A. Zeqiri
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ M. Stroeykens
91′
L. Augustinsson 🔁
↦ M. NDiaye
91′
3–0 A. Dreyer
M. Jørgensen
92′
Killian Sardella 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
26 C. Coosemans G
54 K. Sardella D
4 J. Šimić D
13 M. Jørgensen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
10 Y. Verschaeren M
23 M. Rits M
17 T. Leoni M
83 T. Degreef M
12 K. Dolberg F
29 M. Stroeykens F
Bench (9)
27 S. Edozie
20 L. Vázquez
36 A. Dreyer
18 M. Ashimeru
6 L. Augustinsson
16 M. Kikkenborg
63 T. Vanhoutte
19 N. Angulo
25 T. Foket

Coach: D. Hubert

Standard

3-5-2
40 M. Epolo G
4 B. Šutalo D
44 D. Bates D
25 I. Hautekiet D
13 M. Fossey M
8 I. Price M
24 A. O'Neill M
7 M. Bulat M
17 I. Camara M
9 A. Zeqiri F
11 D. Eckert Ayensa F
Bench (9)
54 A. Calut
6 S. Alexandropoulos
14 L. Kuavita
19 M. Badamosi
88 H. Lawrence
99 T. Poitoux
29 D. Dierckx
51 L. Noubi
21 S. Benjdida

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
U
4,06
B
5,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.