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Super League
Referee: Anastasios Sidiropoulos
Olympiakos
S S S U S
3–0
Full-time
Atromitos
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
82%
18%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
2,3
1,1
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
27 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Atromitos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 11 9 1 1 +17 28
2 PAOK 10 7 2 1 +13 23
3 AEK 10 7 1 2 +4 22
4 Levadeiakos 11 5 4 2 +14 19
5 Volos NFC 11 6 0 5 -2 18
6 Panathinaikos 10 4 4 2 +3 16
7 Panetolikos 12 4 3 5 -2 15
8 Aris Thessalonikis 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Aris 10 3 4 3 -2 13
10 Kifisia 11 3 3 5 -2 12
11 Atromitos 11 2 3 6 -2 9
12 Asteras Tripolis 12 1 6 5 -4 9
13 OFI Crete 10 3 0 7 -8 9
14 Larisa 10 1 4 5 -9 7
15 Panserraikos 11 1 3 7 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Atromitos
20′
🟨 Peter Michorl
Ayoub El Kaabi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
35′
36′
🟨 Dimitrios Tsakmakis
1–0 A. El Kaabi
37′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 D. Jubitana
↦ A. Garcia
59′
🔁 T. van Weert
↦ O. Ozegovic
R. Yaremchuk 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
67′
C. Mouzakitis 🔁
↦ D. Nascimento
67′
M. Taremi 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
67′
71′
🔁 M. Mountes
↦ J. Uronen
71′
🔁 G. Tzovaras
↦ P. Michorl
76′
🔁 B. Palmezano
↦ S. Moutoussamy
2–0 M. Taremi
81′
Y. Yazici 🔁
↦ G. Martins
84′
G. Strefezza 🔁
↦ D. Podence
84′
3–0 M. Taremi
R. Yaremchuk
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
8 D. Nascimento M
10 G. Martins M
22 Chiquinho M
56 D. Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
31 N. Botis
4 G. Biancone
11 R. Yaremchuk
14 D. Garcia
16 L. Scipioni
20 Costinha
97 Y. Yazici
96 C. Mouzakitis
39 Gustavo Mancha
99 M. Taremi
27 G. Strefezza
90 R. Cabella

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar Etxebarria

Atromitos

4-2-3-1
1 L. Choutetsiotis G
17 Quini D
44 D. Tsakmakis D
4 D. Stavropoulos D
21 J. Uronen D
92 S. Moutoussamy M
8 P. Michorl M
26 A. Garcia M
5 T. Tsingaras M
32 M. Baku M
7 O. Ozegovic F
Bench (12)
30 V. Athanasiou
55 A. Koselev
9 T. van Weert
10 B. Palmezano
11 D. Jubitana
12 M. Mountes
14 E. Hoxha
18 L. Kopanidis
19 P. Tsantilas
29 V. Paliouras
33 K. Batos
99 G. Tzovaras

Coach: Leonidas Vokolos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
7,02
B
16,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.