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Premiership

Referee: K Clancy

St Mirren

T T T U T

0–1

Full-time

Celtic

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

18%

64%

Points per game

0,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

36%

55%

Both score Ø 36%

45%

27%

Average goals

2,1

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,40 xG 0,94

27% Possession 73%

13 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 10

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 9. · Celtic 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	12	9	3	0	+19	+3.5	30
2	Celtic	11	7	2	2	+12	+4.9	23
3	Hibernian	13	5	6	2	+9	+1.7	21
4	Rangers	12	5	6	1	+6	-1.3	21
5	Falkirk	13	5	4	4	-2	+1.5	19
6	Motherwell	12	4	6	2	+5	+3.2	18
7	Dundee United	12	3	5	4	-2	-1.6	14
8	Aberdeen	11	3	2	6	-4	-1.6	11
9	St Mirren	11	2	4	5	-7	-2.2	10
10	Kilmarnock	13	2	4	7	-11	-4.1	10
11	Dundee	13	2	3	8	-15	-6.1	9
12	Livingston	13	1	5	7	-10	+2.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	5	2	0	+12	+2.6	17
2	Celtic	6	5	1	0	+13	+4.1	16
3	Falkirk	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.8	10
4	Hibernian	6	2	3	1	+5	+2.0	9
5	Rangers	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.9	9
6	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.0	8
7	Dundee United	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.3	7
8	Dundee	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.6	7
9	St Mirren	6	1	3	2	-3	-0.5	6
10	Aberdeen	6	1	2	3	+0	-1.7	5
11	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	-5	-0.3	5
12	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-1	+2.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	5	4	1	0	+7	+0.9	13
2	Rangers	6	3	3	0	+5	-2.2	12
3	Hibernian	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.4	12
4	Motherwell	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.2	10
5	Falkirk	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.4	9
6	Dundee United	6	1	4	1	+0	-0.3	7
7	Celtic	5	2	1	2	-1	+0.7	7
8	Aberdeen	5	2	0	3	-4	+0.1	6
9	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.8	5
10	St Mirren	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.8	4
11	Livingston	8	0	4	4	-9	-0.4	4
12	Dundee	7	0	2	5	-12	-4.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.