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Premiership

Referee: R Lee

Kilmarnock

T T T T T

1–3

Full-time

Motherwell

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 22%

17%

27%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

45%

Both score Ø 62%

50%

73%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,29 xG 1,72

41% Possession 59%

18 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Motherwell 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	12	9	3	0	+19	+3.5	30
2	Celtic	11	7	2	2	+12	+4.9	23
3	Hibernian	12	4	6	2	+7	+0.8	18
4	Rangers	11	4	6	1	+5	-1.0	18
5	Falkirk	12	4	4	4	-5	+1.1	16
6	Motherwell	11	3	6	2	+3	+2.7	15
7	Dundee United	11	3	5	3	+1	-1.2	14
8	Aberdeen	11	3	2	6	-4	-1.6	11
9	St Mirren	11	2	4	5	-7	-2.2	10
10	Kilmarnock	12	2	4	6	-9	-3.7	10
11	Dundee	12	2	3	7	-13	-5.2	9
12	Livingston	12	1	5	6	-9	+1.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	5	2	0	+12	+2.6	17
2	Celtic	6	5	1	0	+13	+4.1	16
3	Falkirk	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.8	10
4	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.0	8
5	Dundee United	5	2	1	2	+1	-0.9	7
6	Dundee	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.6	7
7	Hibernian	5	1	3	1	+3	+1.2	6
8	Rangers	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.2	6
9	St Mirren	6	1	3	2	-3	-0.5	6
10	Aberdeen	6	1	2	3	+0	-1.7	5
11	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	-3	+0.2	5
12	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-1	+2.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	5	4	1	0	+7	+0.9	13
2	Rangers	6	3	3	0	+5	-2.2	12
3	Hibernian	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.4	12
4	Dundee United	6	1	4	1	+0	-0.3	7
5	Motherwell	6	1	4	1	+0	+0.7	7
6	Celtic	5	2	1	2	-1	+0.7	7
7	Aberdeen	5	2	0	3	-4	+0.1	6
8	Falkirk	5	2	0	3	-7	-0.8	6
9	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.8	5
10	St Mirren	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.8	4
11	Livingston	7	0	4	3	-8	-0.7	4
12	Dundee	6	0	2	4	-10	-3.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.