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Serie A
Referee: M Di Bello
Roma
U U T S U
3–0
Full-time
Cremonese
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
24%
36%
Both score Ø 36%
28%
44%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,01 xG 0,06
58% Possession 42%
23 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 4. · Cremonese 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 26 21 1 4 +41 +33.0 64
2 Milan 26 15 9 2 +21 +14.2 54
3 Napoli 26 15 5 6 +12 +8.3 50
4 Roma 25 15 2 8 +15 +8.3 47
5 Juventus 26 13 7 6 +18 +22.9 46
6 Como 26 12 9 5 +22 +16.6 45
7 Atalanta 26 12 9 5 +14 +9.2 45
8 Sassuolo 26 10 5 11 -3 -7.6 35
9 Lazio 26 8 10 8 +1 -8.3 34
10 Bologna 25 9 6 10 +2 -0.6 33
11 Udinese 25 9 5 11 -10 -6.4 32
12 Parma 26 8 8 10 -12 -15.4 32
13 Cagliari 26 7 8 11 -7 -12.7 29
14 Genoa 26 6 9 11 -5 -0.7 27
15 Torino 26 7 6 13 -22 -10.0 27
16 Cremonese 25 5 9 11 -12 -14.2 24
17 Lecce 26 6 6 14 -16 -17.4 24
18 Fiorentina 25 4 9 12 -10 +3.7 21
19 Pisa 25 1 12 12 -22 -13.8 15
20 Verona 26 2 9 15 -27 -9.1 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roma Cremonese
24′
🟨 Morten Thorsby
Half-time 0–0
N. El Aynaoui 🔁
↦ D. Ghilardi
46′
49′
🔁 W. Bondo
↦ M. Payero
L. Venturino 🔁
↦ B. Zaragoza
56′
1–0 B. Cristante
L. Pellegrini
59′
63′
🔁 J. Vardy
↦ A. Sanabria
Neil El Aynaoui 🟨
66′
N. Pisilli 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
72′
74′
🔁 M. Djuric
↦ G. Pezzella
74′
🔁 M. Faye
↦ A. Zerbin
2–0 E. Ndicka
B. Cristante
77′
J. Ziolkowski 🔁
↦ Z. Celik
85′
3–0 N. Pisilli
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
87 D. Ghilardi D
19 Z. Celik M
17 M. Kone M
4 B. Cristante M
43 Wesley Franca M
97 B. Zaragoza F
7 L. Pellegrini F
14 D. Malen F
Bench (11)
70 G. De Marzi
95 P. Gollini
2 D. Rensch
3 Angelino
8 N. El Aynaoui
12 K. Tsimikas
20 L. Venturino
24 J. Ziolkowski
61 N. Pisilli
68 A. Arena
78 R. Vaz

Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 E. Audero G
24 F. Terracciano D
55 F. Folino D
5 S. Luperto D
7 A. Zerbin M
2 M. Thorsby M
29 Y. Maleh M
32 M. Payero M
3 G. Pezzella M
90 F. Bonazzoli F
99 A. Sanabria F
Bench (12)
16 M. Silvestri
69 L. Nava
4 T. Barbieri
9 M. Djuric
10 J. Vardy
15 M. Bianchetti
23 F. Ceccherini
25 D. Pavesi
27 J. Vandeputte
30 M. Faye
33 A. Grassi
38 W. Bondo

Coach: Marco Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
4,62
B
9,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.