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Premier League

Referee: Martin Atkinson

Newcastle

T T S U T

0–0

Full-time

Brighton

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

28% Possession 72%

11 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Newcastle 18. · Brighton 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Man City	6	4	1	1	+18	13
3	Leicester	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Bournemouth	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Tottenham	6	2	2	2	+4	8
6	Man United	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Burnley	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Sheffield United	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Chelsea	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Arsenal	5	2	2	1	+0	8
11	West Ham	5	2	2	1	-1	8
12	Southampton	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Crystal Palace	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	Everton	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Norwich	6	2	0	4	-5	6
16	Brighton	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Newcastle	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Wolves	5	0	3	2	-4	3
20	Watford	6	0	2	4	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Man City	3	2	1	0	+12	7
3	Leicester	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Tottenham	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Man United	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Norwich	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Burnley	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Everton	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Arsenal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Aston Villa	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Bournemouth	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Sheffield United	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	West Ham	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Chelsea	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Brighton	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Wolves	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Southampton	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Watford	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	2	0	1	+6	6
2	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Bournemouth	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Chelsea	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Southampton	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sheffield United	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	West Ham	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Leicester	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Arsenal	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Brighton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Crystal Palace	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Man United	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Tottenham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Burnley	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Everton	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Watford	3	0	1	2	-9	1
19	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Norwich	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.