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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Hibernian
U S U S T
1–2
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 24%
29%
19%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
65%
32%
Both score Ø 49%
55%
42%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
13 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Corners 3
3 Offside 5
6 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 7. · ST Johnstone 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 31 23 5 3 +51 74
2 Rangers 30 24 1 5 +50 73
3 Hearts 31 17 5 9 +9 56
4 Kilmarnock 31 11 12 8 +6 45
5 St Mirren 31 12 7 12 -1 43
6 Dundee 30 10 9 11 -9 39
7 Hibernian 31 9 11 11 -6 38
8 Motherwell 31 7 12 12 -6 33
9 Aberdeen 31 8 9 14 -14 33
10 ST Johnstone 31 6 10 15 -21 28
11 Ross County 31 6 9 16 -24 27
12 Livingston 31 3 8 20 -35 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Dec -23 ST Johnstone – Hibernian 1–0 23. Sep -23 Hibernian – ST Johnstone 2–0 22. Apr -23 ST Johnstone – Hibernian 1–1 21. Oct -22 Hibernian – ST Johnstone 1–2 30. Jul -22 ST Johnstone – Hibernian 0–1

Match report

Hibernian ST Johnstone
Half-time 0–0
N. Moriah-Welsh 🔁
↦ W. Fish
46′
49′
⚽ A. Sidibeh 0–1
M. Smith
1–1 C. Cadden ⚽
56′
60′
🟨 Ryan McGowan
É. Youan 🔁
↦ A. Le Fondre
65′
Jordan Obita 🟨
70′
73′
🟨 Maksym Kucheriavyi
76′
🔁 G. Carey
↦ N. Clark
80′
🔁 B. Mbunga Kimpioka
↦ A. Sidibeh
81′
⚽ T. Gallacher 1–2
G. Carey
Jair Tavares 🔁
↦ J. Newell
83′
93′
🔁 S. May
↦ M. Smith
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-1-4-1
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
5 W. Fish D
33 R. Bushiri D
21 J. Obita D
23 N. Triantis M
10 M. Boyle M
20 E. Marcondes M
11 J. Newell M
17 M. Maolida M
19 A. Le Fondre F
Bench (9)
30 N. Moriah-Welsh
7 É. Youan
29 Jair Tavares
32 J. Campbell
4 P. Hanlon
6 D. Levitt
14 Eliezer Mayenda
13 J. Wollacott
16 L. Stevenson

Coach: N. Montgomery

ST Johnstone

5-3-2
1 D. Mitov G
33 D. Keltjens D
5 R. McGowan D
4 A. Considine D
19 L. Robinson D
3 T. Gallacher D
22 M. Smith M
34 D. Phillips M
15 M. Kucheriavyi M
10 N. Clark F
16 A. Sidibeh F
Bench (8)
11 G. Carey
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka
7 S. May
46 F. Franczak
21 A. Crawford
8 C. MacPherson
31 D. Richards
50 C. Smith

Coach: C. Levein

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,52
🔒
U
4,13
🔒
B ✓
6,24
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,90
🔒
U2,5
1,89
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.