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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Ross County
S T S T U
2–2
Full-time
Aberdeen
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,7
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 27%
22%
32%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
49%
46%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ross County 10. · Aberdeen 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 38 29 6 3 +65 93
2 Rangers 38 27 4 7 +55 85
3 Hearts 38 20 8 10 +12 68
4 Kilmarnock 38 14 14 10 +2 56
5 Aberdeen 37 12 11 14 -4 47
6 St Mirren 38 13 8 17 -6 47
7 Hibernian 37 11 12 14 -7 45
8 Motherwell 37 10 13 14 -2 43
9 Dundee 38 10 12 16 -19 42
10 Ross County 37 8 10 19 -29 34
11 ST Johnstone 37 7 11 19 -26 32
12 Livingston 37 5 9 23 -41 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Mar -24 Aberdeen – Ross County 2–1 2. Jan -24 Ross County – Aberdeen 0–3 24. Sep -23 Aberdeen – Ross County 4–0 14. Apr -23 Ross County – Aberdeen 0–1 2. Jan -23 Aberdeen – Ross County 0–0

Match report

Ross County Aberdeen
1–0 S. Murray ⚽
5′
Jack Baldwin 🟨
28′
Simon Murray 🟨
29′
32′
⚽ E. Sokler 1–1
C. Barron
Half-time 1–2
50′
⚽ J. McGrath 1–2
J. Hoilett
V. Loturi 🔁
↦ R. Leak
60′
64′
🟥 Angus MacDonald
67′
🔁 Duk
↦ L. Clarkson
67′
🔁 S. Rubežić
↦ E. Sokler
2–2 Y. Dhanda ⚽
67′
James Brown 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 B. Miovski
↦ J. Hoilett
78′
🔁 R. Jensen
↦ J. MacKenzie
J. Sims 🔁
↦ J. Brown
80′
Jordan White 🟨
85′
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ G. Harmon
87′
91′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ross County

3-4-1-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
35 W. Nightingale D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
4 J. Brown M
2 C. Randall M
18 E. King M
16 G. Harmon M
10 Y. Dhanda F
15 S. Murray F
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
14 V. Loturi
11 J. Sims
27 E. Brophy
8 R. Callachan
40 G. Wickens
19 B. Khela
43 J. Reid
28 L. Ayina
17 J. Henderson

Coach: D. Cowie

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
6 S. Gartenmann D
27 A. MacDonald D
3 J. MacKenzie D
8 C. Barron M
4 G. Shinnie M
7 J. McGrath M
10 L. Clarkson M
30 J. Hoilett M
19 E. Sokler F
Bench (9)
11 Duk
33 S. Rubežić
9 B. Miovski
5 R. Jensen
28 J. Milne
20 S. Morris
31 R. Doohan
15 J. McGarry
49 F. Boyd

Coach: P. Leven

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,56
🔒
U ✓
3,61
🔒
B
2,53
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,72
🔒
U2,5
2,07
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.