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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Aberdeen
T T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Livingston
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 38%
0%
75%
Average goals
1,7
3,5
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 12. · Livingston 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 4 3 1 0 +6 +2.5 10
2 Hearts 4 3 1 0 +4 +0.8 10
3 Hibernian 3 1 2 0 +1 +1.1 5
4 Dundee United 3 1 1 1 +1 -1.0 4
5 Kilmarnock 4 0 4 0 +0 -0.1 4
6 Motherwell 4 0 4 0 +0 +1.8 4
7 Rangers 4 0 4 0 +0 -0.9 4
8 Falkirk 3 1 1 1 -1 -0.7 4
9 Livingston 4 1 1 2 -2 +0.6 4
10 St Mirren 4 0 3 1 -1 -1.5 3
11 Dundee 4 0 2 2 -3 -2.0 2
12 Aberdeen 3 0 0 3 -5 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Livingston
Kevin Nisbet 🟨
17′
38′
🟨 Daniel Finlayson
40′
🟨 Danny Wilson
45′
🟨 Mohammad Sylla
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Winter
↦ L. Smith
S. Armstrong 🔁
↦ E. Gyamfi
63′
Stuart Armstrong 🟨
66′
L. Clarkson 🔁
↦ A. Aouchiche
67′
A. Palaversa 🔁
↦ S. Nilsen
67′
D. Polvara 🔁
↦ K. Nisbet
72′
M. Lazetic 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
72′
72′
🔁 M. Susoho
↦ M. Tait
Marko Lazetić 🟨
73′
80′
🔁 S. May
↦ R. Muirhead
Dimitar Mitov 🟨
90′
94′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ T. Yengi
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
28 A. Jensen D
26 A. Dorrington D
5 M. Knoester D
77 E. Gyamfi
6 S. Nilsen M
4 G. Shinnie M
81 T. Keskinen M
7 A. Aouchiche M
17 J. Karlsson M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
13 N. Suman
8 D. Polvara
10 L. Clarkson
14 K. Bilalovic
16 S. Armstrong
18 A. Palaversa
21 G. Molloy
22 J. Milne
27 M. Lazetic

Coach: Bo Jimmy Thelin

Livingston

4-2-3-1
28 J. Prior G
19 D. Finlayson D
5 R. McGowan D
27 D. Wilson D
3 A. Montgomery D
24 M. Sylla M
25 M. Tait M
15 L. Smith M
8 S. Pittman M
39 T. Yengi M
9 R. Muirhead F
Bench (9)
14 J. Hamilton
7 M. Susoho
10 G. Carey
11 C. McLennan
16 A. Winter
17 S. May
20 J. Robinson
22 A. Shinnie
23 B. Kabongolo

Coach: David Paul Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U ✓
3,56
B
3,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.