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Süper Lig

Referee: O Aksu

Karagumruk

T S T T S

0–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,83 xG 0,62

72% Possession 28%

14 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Karagumruk 12. · Kasimpasa 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+12	+8.6	12
2	Trabzonspor	4	3	1	0	+3	+1.8	10
3	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+5	+0.6	8
4	Konyaspor	3	2	1	0	+6	-0.1	7
5	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.2	7
6	Samsunspor	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.3	7
7	Antalyaspor	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.3	6
8	Gaziantep	4	2	0	2	-4	-2.7	6
9	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.8	4
10	Eyüpspor	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.6	4
11	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.4	3
12	Karagumruk	3	1	0	2	-4	-3.2	3
13	Buyuksehyr	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
14	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-4	-3.8	2
15	Kocaelispor	4	0	1	3	-4	-0.8	1
16	Rizespor	3	0	1	2	-5	+0.6	1
17	Kasimpasa	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.8	0
18	Genclerbirligi	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.9	7
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.4	6
3	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.8	4
4	Konyaspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.1	3
5	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
6	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
7	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
9	Eyüpspor	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.9	3
10	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.3	3
11	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
12	Buyuksehyr	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
13	Kocaelispor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
14	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.3	0
15	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
16	Genclerbirligi	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.0	0
17	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.6	0
18	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+7	+5.2	6
2	Goztep	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
3	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+3	-1.2	4
4	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
5	Samsunspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
6	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	Antalyaspor	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
8	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.4	3
9	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
10	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
11	Eyüpspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
12	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.0	1
13	Alanyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
14	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Genclerbirligi	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.9	0
16	Besiktas	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
17	Kocaelispor	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.