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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla

Getafe

S T S S T

2–0

Full-time

Oviedo

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Oviedo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,75 xG 0,46

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Getafe 7. · Oviedo 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.6	9
2	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+3	+3.6	9
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.7	7
4	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.7	7
5	Espanol	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.7	7
6	Elche	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.7	6
7	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
8	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.1	5
9	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.3	4
10	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.7	4
11	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.5	4
12	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
13	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.7	3
14	Celta	4	0	3	1	-2	-0.2	3
15	Oviedo	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.3	3
16	Sociedad	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.3	2
17	Ath Madrid	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
18	Mallorca	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
19	Levante	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.3	0
20	Girona	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.1	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.4	6
4	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.0	6
5	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.7	4
6	Elche	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.1	4
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
8	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
10	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.8	3
11	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.3	2
12	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
13	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
14	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
15	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
16	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
17	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
18	Girona	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.7	7
2	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
5	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.6	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
8	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
9	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
10	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
13	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
14	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
16	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
17	Osasuna	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
18	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
19	Levante	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
20	Girona	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.