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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

Celtic

S S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Hearts

S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 66%

71%

60%

Points per game

2,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

50%

53%

Both score Ø 38%

29%

47%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,24 xG 0,92

72% Possession 28%

15 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 2. · Hearts 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	15	9	5	1	+18	+5.4	32
2	Celtic	14	10	2	2	+15	+3.6	32
3	Motherwell	16	6	8	2	+10	+6.7	26
4	Rangers	15	6	8	1	+9	+0.2	26
5	Hibernian	16	6	6	4	+9	+1.7	24
6	Aberdeen	15	6	3	6	+0	-2.7	21
7	Falkirk	16	5	6	5	-5	-0.4	21
8	Dundee United	15	3	7	5	-4	-3.4	16
9	St Mirren	15	3	5	7	-8	+0.3	14
10	Kilmarnock	16	2	6	8	-14	-4.4	12
11	Dundee	16	3	3	10	-16	-7.4	12
12	Livingston	15	1	5	9	-14	+0.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	7	6	1	0	+14	+4.1	19
2	Hearts	8	5	3	0	+12	+2.6	18
3	Motherwell	8	4	3	1	+8	+5.5	15
4	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+7	+3.7	12
5	Falkirk	8	2	5	1	+2	+1.8	11
6	Rangers	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.8	10
7	Dundee	8	3	1	4	-3	-2.9	10
8	Aberdeen	8	2	3	3	+1	-3.9	9
9	St Mirren	8	2	3	3	-2	+1.5	9
10	Dundee United	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.3	8
11	Kilmarnock	9	1	3	5	-8	-0.5	6
12	Livingston	6	1	1	4	-2	+2.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	8	4	4	0	+8	-1.6	16
2	Hearts	7	4	2	1	+6	+2.8	14
3	Celtic	7	4	1	2	+1	-0.5	13
4	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+2	-2.0	12
5	Aberdeen	7	4	0	3	-1	+1.2	12
6	Motherwell	8	2	5	1	+2	+1.2	11
7	Falkirk	8	3	1	4	-7	-2.2	10
8	Dundee United	8	1	5	2	-2	-2.1	8
9	Kilmarnock	7	1	3	3	-6	-3.8	6
10	St Mirren	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.2	5
11	Livingston	9	0	4	5	-12	-2.0	4
12	Dundee	8	0	2	6	-13	-4.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.