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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Real Madrid
S S S T S
4–1
Full-time
Huesca
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
33%
29%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
57%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Huesca 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 7 4 2 1 +11 14
2 Cadiz 8 4 2 2 +2 14
3 Real Madrid 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Granada 6 4 1 1 +0 13
5 Villarreal 7 3 3 1 +0 12
6 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 +9 11
7 Osasuna 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Getafe 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Elche 5 3 1 1 +1 10
10 Betis 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Eibar 8 2 2 4 -3 8
12 Barcelona 5 2 1 2 +4 7
13 Sevilla 5 2 1 2 +1 7
14 Valencia 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Alaves 7 2 1 4 -3 7
16 Ath Bilbao 6 2 0 4 -2 6
17 Celta 7 1 3 3 -6 6
18 Huesca 7 0 5 2 -5 5
19 Levante 6 1 1 4 -5 4
20 Valladolid 7 0 3 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Huesca
1–0 E. Hazard
F. Valverde
40′
2–0 K. Benzema
Lucas Vázquez
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Javier Galán
↦ Javi Ontiveros
46′
🔁 David Ferreiro
↦ Sergio Gómez
F. Mendy 🔁
↦ Lucas Vázquez
52′
3–0 F. Valverde
K. Benzema
54′
57′
🔁 Sandro Ramírez
↦ K. Nwakali
57′
🔁 Eugeni Valderrama
↦ Borja García
Vinícius Júnior 🔁
↦ E. Hazard
60′
Isco 🔁
↦ F. Valverde
61′
Rodrygo 🔁
↦ Asensio
61′
T. Kroos 🔁
↦ Casemiro
69′
74′
David Ferreiro 3–1
Rafa Mir
79′
🟨 Dimitrios Siovas
83′
🔁 G. Silva
↦ Luisinho
88′
🟨 Sandro Ramírez
4–1 K. Benzema
Rodrygo
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
4 Sergio Ramos D
12 Marcelo D
3 Éder Militão D
10 L. Modrić M
14 Casemiro M
17 Lucas Vázquez D
15 F. Valverde M
9 K. Benzema F
7 E. Hazard F
11 Asensio F
Bench (11)
23 F. Mendy
20 Vinícius Júnior
22 Isco
25 Rodrygo
8 T. Kroos
40 Sergio Santos
13 A. Lunin
26 Diego Altube
18 L. Jović
5 R. Varane
24 M. Díaz

Coach: Z. Zidane

Huesca

4-4-2
25 Andrés Fernández G
18 D. Siovas D
16 Luisinho D
14 Jorge Pulido D
3 Pablo Maffeo D
24 Borja García F
5 Pedro Mosquera M
26 K. Nwakali M
15 Javi Ontiveros M
10 Sergio Gómez M
9 Rafa Mir F
Bench (11)
11 Javier Galán
7 David Ferreiro
6 Sandro Ramírez
8 Eugeni Valderrama
22 G. Silva
21 Juan Carlos
23 Dani Escriche
20 Jaime Seoane
2 I. Doumbia
1 Álvaro Fernández
4 Pablo Ínsua

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
5,09
B
8,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.