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Eredivisie
Referee: M Nagtegaal
Willem II
S U T T U
1–3
Full-time
Vitesse
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 11. · Vitesse 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 7 6 0 1 +24 18
2 Vitesse 6 5 0 1 +8 15
3 Twente 7 4 2 1 +10 14
4 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 +7 13
5 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +5 13
6 Groningen 7 4 1 2 +1 13
7 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 +7 11
8 Utrecht 5 2 3 0 +3 9
9 Zwolle 7 1 3 3 -5 6
10 AZ Alkmaar 5 0 5 0 +0 5
11 Willem II 6 1 2 3 -4 5
12 Waalwijk 6 1 2 3 -5 5
13 Heracles 6 1 2 3 -6 5
14 VVV Venlo 7 1 2 4 -14 5
15 Den Haag 6 1 1 4 -6 4
16 FC Emmen 6 0 3 3 -7 3
17 Sparta Rotterdam 5 0 2 3 -7 2
18 For Sittard 7 0 2 5 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Vitesse
Leeroy Owusu 🟨
6′
20′
🟨 Idrissa Toure
1–0 C. Nunnely
M. Trésor
25′
Half-time 1–1
57′
L. Openda 1–1
S. Tronstad
60′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ I. Touré
60′
🔁 T. Bruns
↦ S. Tronstad
Jordens Peters 🟨
62′
63′
A. Broja 1–2
M. Manhoef
G. Sağlam 🔁
↦ M. Trésor
68′
70′
🔁 T. Hájek
↦ M. Manhoef
Vangelis Pavlidis 🟨
71′
J. Yeboah 🔁
↦ M. Köhlert
75′
78′
🔁 O. Darfalou
↦ A. Broja
78′
🔁 P. Vroegh
↦ L. Openda
85′
P. Vroegh 1–3
T. Buitink
90′
🟨 Riechedly Bazoer
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
26 J. Brondeel G
6 J. van der Heijden M
4 J. Peters D
25 S. Holmén D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
21 M. Trésor M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (9)
23 G. Sağlam
19 J. Yeboah
9 P. Gladon
15 O. Romeny
16 R. Zuijderwijk
18 M. Nelom
48 V. Schippers
24 C. van den Berg
22 V. van den Bogert

Coach: A. Koster

Vitesse

5-3-2
22 R. Pasveer G
2 E. Dasa D
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
42 M. Manhoef D
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
27 I. Touré M
40 D. Huisman M
7 L. Openda F
11 A. Broja F
Bench (9)
29 T. Buitink
20 T. Bruns
18 T. Hájek
9 O. Darfalou
36 P. Vroegh
39 E. Cornelisse
44 E. Hernández
23 B. Bayazit
24 J. Houwen

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,37
U
3,59
B ✓
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.