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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Alaves

U T S T S

1–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 7/5 matches

Win Ø 35%

29%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

29%

60%

Both score Ø 35%

29%

40%

Average goals

1,9

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

20% Possession 80%

4 Shots 25

3 Shots on target 9

0 Blocked shots 8

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 14

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 4

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 16. · Barcelona 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+11	14
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	2	0	+11	14
4	Cadiz	8	4	2	2	+2	14
5	Granada	6	4	1	1	+0	13
6	Villarreal	7	3	3	1	+0	12
7	Getafe	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Elche	5	3	1	1	+1	10
9	Osasuna	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Ath Bilbao	7	3	0	4	-1	9
11	Betis	7	3	0	4	-4	9
12	Eibar	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+4	7
14	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-2	7
16	Alaves	7	2	1	4	-3	7
17	Celta	7	1	3	3	-6	6
18	Huesca	8	0	5	3	-8	5
19	Levante	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Valladolid	7	0	3	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Granada	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Getafe	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+7	7
5	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Real Madrid	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Osasuna	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Elche	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Betis	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Huesca	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Valladolid	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Eibar	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Levante	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Sociedad	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Elche	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Betis	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Granada	3	1	1	1	-4	4
11	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Alaves	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Celta	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Levante	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Ath Bilbao	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Huesca	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
19	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.