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Eredivisie
Referee: K Blom
Willem II
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
3 Shots 25
1 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 9
8 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 3. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 1 0 +26 16
2 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +8 15
3 Willem II 6 4 1 1 +2 13
4 Feyenoord 5 4 0 1 +10 12
5 Utrecht 6 3 2 1 +8 11
6 Twente 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Heerenveen 5 3 1 1 +1 10
8 Cambuur 6 3 0 3 -7 9
9 Vitesse 6 3 0 3 -8 9
10 Nijmegen 6 2 2 2 -5 8
11 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 3 2 -4 6
12 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 0 4 -4 6
13 Waalwijk 6 1 2 3 -2 5
14 Groningen 6 1 2 3 -4 5
15 Heracles 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 For Sittard 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 Zwolle 6 0 1 5 -7 1
18 AZ Alkmaar 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II PSV Eindhoven
0–1 E. Zahavi
own goal
20′
30′
E. Zahavi 0–2
P. Max
Görkem Sağlam 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Mario Götze
55′
🟨 Marco van Ginkel
M. Svensson 🔁
↦ G. Sağlam
63′
A. Kampetsis 🔁
↦ K. Wriedt
63′
E. Bergström 🔁
↦ V. Schippers
68′
72′
🔁 Bruma
↦ R. Doan
73′
🔁 D. Pröpper
↦ M. van Ginkel
N. Michelis 🔁
↦ F. Heerkens
74′
1–2 C. Nunnely
D. Saddiki
76′
77′
🔁 Carlos Vinícius
↦ E. Zahavi
84′
🔁 M. Romero
↦ P. Max
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Willem II

4-2-3-1
21 T. Wellenreuther G
3 F. Heerkens D
4 U. Jenssen D
27 D. Köhn D
28 V. Schippers D
8 Pol Llonch M
23 G. Sağlam M
17 D. Saddiki M
9 K. Wriedt F
11 M. Köhlert M
7 C. Nunnely M
Bench (10)
15 M. Svensson
10 A. Kampetsis
5 E. Bergström
25 N. Michelis
18 M. Nelom
26 J. Brondeel
14 E. Kabangu
24 C. van den Berg
16 R. Meerveld
19 J. Yeboah

Coach: F. Grim

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
31 P. Max D
18 O. Boscagli D
27 M. Götze M
8 M. van Ginkel M
6 I. Sangaré M
7 E. Zahavi F
25 R. Doan M
11 C. Gakpo M
Bench (11)
19 Bruma
14 D. Pröpper
9 Carlos Vinícius
20 M. Romero
4 A. Obispo
13 V. Müller
32 Y. Vertessen
3 J. Teze
15 É. Gutiérrez
38 Y. Mvogo
17 Mauro Júnior

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
5,87
U
4,36
B
1,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Blom · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.