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Allsvenskan
Malmo FF
S T U U S
5–1
Full-time
Orebro
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Orebro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 38%
55%
20%
Points per game
1,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
65%
55%
Both score Ø 53%
70%
35%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Malmo FF 3. · Orebro 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 20 12 5 3 +17 41
2 AIK 20 12 5 3 +14 41
3 Malmo FF 20 11 5 4 +17 38
4 Elfsborg 20 11 3 6 +13 36
5 Norrkoping 20 10 3 7 +11 33
6 Hammarby 20 9 6 5 +8 33
7 Kalmar 20 8 7 5 +1 31
8 Varberg 20 7 6 7 -1 27
9 Sirius 20 7 5 8 -10 26
10 Hacken 20 6 6 8 +0 24
11 Goteborg 20 5 7 8 -5 22
12 Halmstad 20 4 9 7 -4 21
13 Mjallby 20 3 9 8 -6 18
14 Degerfors 20 5 3 12 -17 18
15 Orebro 20 4 4 12 -23 16
16 Ostersunds 20 3 3 14 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.