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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Blackpool
U T S T S
1–0
Full-time
Barnsley
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackpool Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackpool 20. · Barnsley 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 10 6 4 0 +9 22
2 Coventry 10 7 1 2 +9 22
3 Bournemouth 8 5 3 0 +8 18
4 Fulham 8 5 1 2 +11 16
5 Reading 10 5 1 4 +0 16
6 Stoke 8 4 2 2 +1 14
7 Huddersfield 7 4 1 2 +4 13
8 Blackburn 8 3 4 1 +3 13
9 Luton 9 3 4 2 +1 13
10 Sheffield United 9 3 3 3 +4 12
11 QPR 9 3 3 3 +3 12
12 Cardiff 9 3 3 3 +2 12
13 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 +1 12
14 Preston 9 3 3 3 -1 12
15 Birmingham 9 3 2 4 -3 11
16 Derby 9 2 4 3 -2 10
17 Middlesbrough 9 2 3 4 -2 9
18 Millwall 8 1 5 2 -2 8
19 Barnsley 8 1 5 2 -3 8
20 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 -5 8
21 Swansea 8 1 4 3 -4 7
22 Peterboro 9 2 1 6 -10 7
23 Peterborough 9 2 1 6 -10 7
24 Hull 8 1 2 5 -7 5
25 Nott'm Forest 7 0 1 6 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackpool Barnsley
1–0 S. Lavery
K. Anderson
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Oduor
↦ D. Frieser
58′
🟨 Jasper Moon
60′
🔁 A. Leya
↦ V. Adeboyejo
Ryan Wintle 🟨
64′
G. Madine 🔁
↦ T. John-Jules
69′
70′
🟨 Josh Benson
73′
🔁 R. Palmer
↦ J. Benson
J. Husband 🔁
↦ K. Anderson
83′
D. Mitchell 🔁
↦ J. Bowler
83′
89′
🟨 Aaron Leya Iseka
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Blackpool

4-4-2
1 C. Maxwell G
26 R. Keogh D
29 L. Garbutt D
21 M. Ekpiteta D
35 D. Sterling D
12 K. Dougall M
8 R. Wintle M
11 J. Bowler M
19 S. Lavery F
10 K. Anderson M
28 T. John-Jules F
Bench (7)
14 G. Madine
3 J. Husband
15 D. Mitchell
9 J. Yates
2 C. Connolly
16 S. Carey
13 S. Moore

Coach: N. Critchley

Barnsley

3-4-3
40 B. Collins G
30 M. Helik D
7 C. Brittain M
3 B. Williams M
5 L. Kitching D
28 D. Frieser F
10 J. Benson M
15 J. Moon D
9 C. Woodrow F
29 V. Adeboyejo F
4 C. Styles M
Bench (7)
22 C. Oduor
11 A. Leya
21 R. Palmer
17 C. Gomes
20 T. Sibbick
1 J. Walton
2 J. Williams

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,48
U
3,24
B
2,96
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.