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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Real Madrid

U S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Villarreal

U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,8

2,0

Scored

3,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 52%

83%

20%

Points per game

2,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

83%

40%

Both score Ø 62%

83%

40%

Average goals

4,8

1,8

Scored

3,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Villarreal 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	5	1	0	+13	16
2	Sevilla	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Ath Madrid	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Valencia	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Vallecano	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Ath Bilbao	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Barcelona	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Betis	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Osasuna	6	2	2	2	-2	8
11	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-5	8
12	Villarreal	5	1	4	0	+3	7
13	Cadiz	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Espanol	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Elche	6	1	3	2	-3	6
16	Levante	6	0	4	2	-3	4
17	Celta	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Granada	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-9	3
20	Getafe	6	0	0	6	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Sociedad	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+8	6
6	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Mallorca	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Elche	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Betis	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Levante	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Granada	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Celta	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Betis	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Ath Bilbao	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Sevilla	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Cadiz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Celta	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Villarreal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Elche	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Mallorca	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Barcelona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Granada	3	0	2	1	-4	2
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.