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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

St Etienne

U T T T T

0–3

Full-time

Nice

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

86%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

11 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 9

5 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 19. · Nice 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Marseille	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Angers	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Lens	7	3	3	1	+3	12
5	Lorient	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Nice	6	3	2	1	+9	11
7	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Nantes	7	3	1	3	+3	10
9	Strasbourg	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Montpellier	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Clermont	7	2	3	2	-6	9
12	Rennes	7	2	2	3	+1	8
13	Monaco	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Lille	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Reims	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-6	6
17	Troyes	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Brest	7	0	4	3	-6	4
19	St Etienne	7	0	3	4	-7	3
20	Metz	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Montpellier	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Angers	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Nantes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Lille	3	2	0	1	-2	6
11	Nice	3	1	2	0	+4	5
12	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	Lens	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Bordeaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Nice	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Reims	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	-3	5
8	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-8	4
12	Lorient	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Lille	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Brest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.