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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Blackburn
T U U S U
5–1
Full-time
Cardiff
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Championship · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 36%
38%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 71%
75%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

39% Possession 61%
17 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 8. · Cardiff 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 10 6 4 0 +9 22
2 Coventry 10 7 1 2 +9 22
3 Bournemouth 8 5 3 0 +8 18
4 Fulham 8 5 1 2 +11 16
5 Reading 10 5 1 4 +0 16
6 Stoke 8 4 2 2 +1 14
7 Huddersfield 7 4 1 2 +4 13
8 Blackburn 8 3 4 1 +3 13
9 Luton 9 3 4 2 +1 13
10 Sheffield United 9 3 3 3 +4 12
11 QPR 9 3 3 3 +3 12
12 Cardiff 9 3 3 3 +2 12
13 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 +1 12
14 Preston 9 3 3 3 -1 12
15 Birmingham 9 3 2 4 -3 11
16 Derby 9 2 4 3 -2 10
17 Middlesbrough 9 2 3 4 -2 9
18 Millwall 8 1 5 2 -2 8
19 Barnsley 8 1 5 2 -3 8
20 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 -5 8
21 Swansea 8 1 4 3 -4 7
22 Peterboro 9 2 1 6 -10 7
23 Peterborough 9 2 1 6 -10 7
24 Hull 8 1 2 5 -7 5
25 Nott'm Forest 7 0 1 6 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Cardiff
8′
🟨 Aden Flint
1–0 S. Gallagher
J. Buckley
24′
2–0 B. Brereton
T. Dolan
32′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 R. Giles
↦ W. Vaulks
46′
🔁 M. Harris
↦ P. Ng
3–0 B. Brereton
47′
4–0 T. Dolan
S. Gallagher
53′
H. Carter 🔁
↦ D. Lenihan
56′
58′
S. Morrison 4–1
R. Giles
R. Khadra 🔁
↦ T. Dolan
66′
81′
🔁 J. Collins
↦ R. Colwill
A. Edun 🔁
↦ J. Rothwell
83′
89′
🟨 Dillon Phillips
5–1 B. Brereton
90′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 T. Kaminski G
5 Daniel Ayala D
26 D. Lenihan D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
3 H. Pickering D
8 J. Rothwell M
21 J. Buckley M
10 T. Dolan F
9 S. Gallagher M
22 B. Brereton M
Bench (7)
24 H. Carter
7 R. Khadra
20 A. Edun
19 L. Clarkson
30 I. Poveda-Ocampo
13 A. Pears
14 D. Butterworth

Coach: T. Mowbray

Cardiff

3-4-2-1
1 D. Phillips G
4 S. Morrison D
5 A. Flint D
16 C. Nelson D
38 P. Ng M
3 J. Bagan M
7 L. Bacuna F
21 M. Pack M
6 W. Vaulks M
27 R. Colwill F
10 K. Moore F
Bench (7)
26 R. Giles
29 M. Harris
19 J. Collins
25 A. Smithies
2 M. McGuinness
37 S. Bowen
28 T. Sang

Coach: M. McCarthy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,32
U
3,34
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.