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Eliteserien

Referee: E Eskås

Stromsgodset

T T S S T

5–0

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 33%

39%

26%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

61%

42%

Both score Ø 54%

61%

47%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 9. · Sarpsborg 08 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	11	5	3	+21	38
2	Molde	19	11	4	4	+23	37
3	Kristiansund	19	11	2	6	+5	35
4	Rosenborg	19	10	4	5	+15	34
5	Lillestrom	19	10	4	5	+7	34
6	Viking	19	9	4	6	+0	31
7	Haugesund	19	8	4	7	+2	28
8	Valerenga	19	6	9	4	+4	27
9	Stromsgodset	18	7	4	7	-1	25
10	Sandefjord	19	7	4	8	-6	25
11	Odd	19	6	5	8	-9	23
12	Sarpsborg 08	19	5	5	9	-7	20
13	Tromso	19	3	7	9	-13	16
14	Mjondalen	19	2	8	9	-7	14
15	Brann	19	3	5	11	-16	14
16	Stabaek	18	3	4	11	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kristiansund	10	8	1	1	+12	25
2	Molde	9	8	0	1	+22	24
3	Haugesund	9	7	1	1	+10	22
4	Bodo/Glimt	10	6	3	1	+16	21
5	Stromsgodset	9	6	2	1	+12	20
6	Viking	10	6	2	2	+6	20
7	Rosenborg	9	6	1	2	+13	19
8	Lillestrom	9	5	1	3	+3	16
9	Valerenga	10	3	6	1	+6	15
10	Sandefjord	10	4	3	3	+3	15
11	Odd	9	4	2	3	+4	14
12	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	4	3	+3	13
13	Brann	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Stabaek	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Mjondalen	10	1	4	5	-2	7
16	Tromso	9	0	4	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	10	5	3	2	+4	18
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Rosenborg	10	4	3	3	+2	15
4	Molde	10	3	4	3	+1	13
5	Valerenga	9	3	3	3	-2	12
6	Tromso	10	3	3	4	-5	12
7	Viking	9	3	2	4	-6	11
8	Kristiansund	9	3	1	5	-7	10
9	Sandefjord	9	3	1	5	-9	10
10	Odd	10	2	3	5	-13	9
11	Mjondalen	9	1	4	4	-5	7
12	Sarpsborg 08	9	2	1	6	-10	7
13	Haugesund	10	1	3	6	-8	6
14	Stabaek	9	1	2	6	-12	5
15	Brann	10	1	2	7	-12	5
16	Stromsgodset	9	1	2	6	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.