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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

SK Rapid

T S U T T

0–3

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

25%

63%

Points per game

1,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

50%

88%

Both score Ø 69%

50%

88%

Average goals

2,5

3,9

Scored

1,3

2,6

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 11. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	9	0	0	+19	27
2	Sturm Graz	8	5	2	1	+11	17
3	A. Klagenfurt	9	3	3	3	-1	12
4	Ried	9	3	3	3	-8	12
5	Austria Vienna	9	2	5	2	+1	11
6	LASK	9	2	4	3	-2	10
7	Hartberg	9	2	3	4	+0	9
8	Admira	9	2	3	4	-2	9
9	Wolfsberger AC	9	2	3	4	-6	9
10	Altach	9	2	3	4	-6	9
11	SK Rapid	8	2	2	4	+0	8
12	Tirol	9	1	5	3	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Sturm Graz	5	3	1	1	+6	10
3	Ried	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	A. Klagenfurt	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	SK Rapid	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Tirol	5	1	3	1	+0	6
7	Admira	4	1	2	1	+3	5
8	LASK	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Austria Vienna	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Wolfsberger AC	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Altach	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Hartberg	4	0	1	3	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Hartberg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
3	Sturm Graz	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Austria Vienna	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	LASK	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Altach	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	A. Klagenfurt	5	1	1	3	-3	4
9	Admira	5	1	1	3	-5	4
10	SK Rapid	4	0	2	2	-3	2
11	Tirol	4	0	2	2	-6	2
12	Ried	5	0	2	3	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.