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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Hartberg
S T U U S
1–5
Full-time
Salzburg
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 4. · Salzburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Salzburg 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 A. Klagenfurt 4 1 3 0 +2 6
4 Hartberg 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Wolfsberger AC 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 LASK 4 1 2 1 +0 5
7 SK Rapid 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Altach 4 1 1 2 -5 4
9 Austria Vienna 3 1 0 2 -3 3
10 A. Lustenau 4 0 2 2 -3 2
11 BW Linz 3 0 1 2 -3 1
12 Tirol 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.