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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Monaco

U T T T S

3–0

Full-time

Strasbourg

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

6,0

3,0

Scored

4,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,04 xG 0,50

56% Possession 44%

9 Shots 4

4 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 7. · Strasbourg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brest	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.7	6
2	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.1	4
3	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
4	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.7	4
5	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
6	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
8	Reims	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.7	3
9	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
10	Nice	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
11	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.0	2
12	Lorient	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
13	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
14	Metz	2	0	1	1	-4	-5.4	1
15	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
16	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
17	Lyon	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0
18	Clermont	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
2	Reims	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
4	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
5	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
9	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
10	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
12	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
13	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
14	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
15	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
16	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
6	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
7	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
8	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
10	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
11	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
12	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
13	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
14	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
15	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.