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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Vizela

T U T T T

2–2

Full-time

Arouca

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vizela Arouca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

7,0

Scored

2,0

4,0

Conceded

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,77 xG 0,89

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

4 Offside 2

24 Free kicks against 11

6 Yellow cards 6

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Vizela 13. · Arouca 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Boavista	2	2	0	+4	+0.8	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	+2	+1.3	6
3	Porto	2	2	0	+2	+1.8	6
4	Guimaraes	2	2	0	+2	+0.1	6
5	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	+4	+0.8	3
6	Casa Pia	2	1	1	+2	+1.4	3
7	Sp Braga	2	1	1	+1	-0.1	3
8	Estoril	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	3
9	Benfica	2	1	1	+1	+2.6	3
10	Arouca	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
11	Famalicao	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	3
12	Rio Ave	2	1	1	+0	+1.8	3
13	Vizela	1	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
14	Moreirense	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
15	Estrela	2	0	2	-3	-2.9	0
16	Chaves	2	0	2	-4	-2.6	0
17	Farense	2	0	2	-4	-3.0	0
18	Portimonense	2	0	2	-8	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	+5	+0.6	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	3
3	Rio Ave	1	1	0	+2	+3.0	3
4	Estoril	1	1	0	+2	+1.2	3
5	Arouca	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
6	Boavista	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Porto	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	3
9	Guimaraes	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	3
10	Sp Braga	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
11	Moreirense	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
12	Casa Pia	1	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
13	Estrela	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
14	Chaves	1	0	1	-2	+0.5	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
16	Farense	1	0	1	-3	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Boavista	1	1	0	+3	+0.9	3
2	Casa Pia	1	1	0	+3	+1.5	3
3	Sp Braga	1	1	0	+2	-0.5	3
4	Famalicao	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	3
5	Porto	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	3
7	Guimaraes	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	3
8	Estoril	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
9	Benfica	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
10	Vizela	1	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
11	Farense	1	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
12	Gil Vicente	1	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
13	Estrela	1	0	1	-2	-2.6	0
14	Chaves	1	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
15	Rio Ave	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
16	Portimonense	1	0	1	-5	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.