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Serie A
Referee: E Feliciani
Roma
U U T U S
2–2
Full-time
Salernitana
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,90 xG 0,14
60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. May -23 Roma – Salernitana 2–2 14. Aug -22 Salernitana – Roma 0–1 10. Apr -22 Roma – Salernitana 2–1 29. Aug -21 Salernitana – Roma 0–4

Match report

Roma Salernitana
Andrea Belotti ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
9′
1–0 A. Belotti ⚽
Diego Llorente
17′
36′
⚽ A. Candreva 1–1
L. Coulibaly
41′
🟨 Norbert Gyömbér
Half-time 1–2
49′
⚽ A. Candreva 1–2
D. Bradarić
Renato Sanches 🔁
↦ E. Bove
65′
N. Zalewski 🔁
↦ L. Spinazzola
65′
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ C. Smalling
65′
R. Karsdorp 🔁
↦ R. Kristensen
65′
66′
🟨 Giulio Maggiore
66′
🔁 B. Dia
↦ P. Mazzocchi
69′
🟨 Grīgorīs Kastanos
78′
🔁 M. Łęgowski
↦ G. Maggiore
79′
🔁 J. Sambia
↦ G. Kastanos
2–2 A. Belotti ⚽
L. Paredes
82′
83′
🟨 Federico Fazio
88′
🔁 M. Coulibaly
↦ E. Botheim
R. Pagano 🔁
↦ H. Aouar
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Roma

3-1-4-2
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
14 Diego Llorente D
4 B. Cristante M
43 R. Kristensen M
52 E. Bove M
22 H. Aouar M
37 L. Spinazzola M
11 A. Belotti F
92 S. El Shaarawy F
Bench (12)
20 Renato Sanches
59 N. Zalewski
16 L. Paredes
2 R. Karsdorp
60 R. Pagano
63 P. Boer
61 N. Pisilli
18 O. Solbakken
99 M. Svilar
5 E. Ndicka
19 Z. Çelik
62 F. Alessio

Coach: José Mourinho

Salernitana

3-4-2-1
13 G. Ochoa G
66 M. Lovato D
23 N. Gyömbér D
17 F. Fazio D
30 P. Mazzocchi M
25 G. Maggiore M
18 L. Coulibaly M
3 D. Bradarić M
20 G. Kastanos F
87 A. Candreva F
11 E. Botheim F
Bench (10)
10 B. Dia
99 M. Łęgowski
6 J. Sambia
78 M. Coulibaly
56 B. Costil
36 A. Sfait
40 E. Elia
1 V. Fiorillo
35 A. Moțoc
39 A. Iervolino

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,53
🔒
U ✓
4,07
🔒
B
6,83
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,10
🔒
U2,5
1,75
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Feliciani · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.