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Eredivisie

Referee: I Oostrom

Utrecht

T S T S T

0–2

Full-time

Heerenveen

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

0,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,86 xG 0,50

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 16. · Heerenveen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
2	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.3	4
3	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
4	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
5	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
6	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
7	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.5	3
10	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
11	Heracles	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.7	3
12	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
14	Nijmegen	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.5	0
15	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
17	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.6	0
18	Volendam	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.9	3
4	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
6	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
7	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
8	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
10	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
11	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
12	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
13	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
14	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
3	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
4	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
6	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
7	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
8	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
9	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
10	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
11	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
12	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
13	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.9	0
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.