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La Liga
Referee: J Manzano
Levante
T T S U U
4–2
Full-time
Oviedo
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 16%
18%
14%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
43%
36%
Both score Ø 41%
50%
32%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,82 xG 1,34
38% Possession 62%
20 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 19. · Oviedo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 28 23 1 4 +49 +36.5 70
2 Real Madrid 28 21 3 4 +36 +31.1 66
3 Villarreal 29 18 4 7 +20 +9.8 58
4 Ath Madrid 28 17 6 5 +22 +13.7 57
5 Betis 28 11 11 6 +8 +10.5 44
6 Celta 28 10 11 7 +7 +4.1 41
7 Sociedad 29 10 8 11 -1 -3.5 38
8 Getafe 29 11 5 13 -6 -9.0 38
9 Espanol 29 10 7 12 -8 -1.4 37
10 Ath Bilbao 28 10 5 13 -10 +9.6 35
11 Osasuna 28 9 7 12 -2 -5.7 34
12 Girona 28 8 10 10 -12 -8.0 34
13 Vallecano 28 7 11 10 -6 +2.2 32
14 Valencia 28 8 8 12 -12 +0.4 32
15 Sevilla 28 8 7 13 -10 -16.8 31
16 Elche 29 6 11 12 -8 -17.8 29
17 Alaves 28 7 7 14 -12 -5.0 28
18 Mallorca 29 7 7 15 -13 -17.3 28
19 Levante 28 5 8 15 -16 -13.5 23
20 Oviedo 28 4 9 15 -26 -19.8 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Oviedo
1–0 C. Espi
4′
2–0 C. Espi
25′
38′
🟨 Eric Bailly
44′
I. Chaira 2–1
J. Lopez
45′
F. Vinas 2–2
Half-time 2–2
51′
🟨 Alberto Reina
3–2 I. Losada
K. Tunde
52′
P. Martinez 🔁
↦ I. Losada
61′
64′
🔁 S. Cazorla
↦ N. Fonseca
64′
🔁 H. Hassan
↦ T. Fernandez
64′
🔁 R. Alhassane
↦ J. Lopez
70′
🔁 S. Colombatto
↦ K. Sibo
Kareem Tunde 🟨
71′
Oriol Rey 🟨
74′
F. Cortes 🔁
↦ K. Tunde
75′
I. Romero 🔁
↦ C. Espi
75′
76′
🟨 Santi Cazorla
80′
🔁 A. Fores
↦ A. Reina
T. Abed 🔁
↦ V. Garcia
84′
84′
🔁 P. Agudin
↦ N. Vidal
K. Arriaga 🔁
↦ J. A. Olasagasti
89′
U. Raghouber 🔁
↦ O. Rey
89′
4–2 I. Romero
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Levante

4-1-4-1
13 M. Ryan G
22 J. Toljan D
4 Dela D
3 A. Matturro D
23 M. Sanchez D
20 O. Rey M
17 V. Garcia M
8 J. A. Olasagasti M
18 I. Losada M
26 K. Tunde M
19 C. Espi F
Bench (12)
1 P. Cunat
16 K. Arriaga
12 U. Vencedor
14 U. Raghouber
55 T. Abed
27 F. Cortes
11 J. Morales
6 D. Varela Pampin
10 P. Martinez
9 I. Romero
21 K. Etta Eyong
29 N. Perez

Coach: Luis Castro

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
13 A. Escandell G
22 N. Vidal D
2 E. Bailly D
4 D. Costas D
25 J. Lopez D
6 K. Sibo M
23 N. Fonseca M
7 I. Chaira M
5 A. Reina M
15 T. Fernandez M
9 F. Vinas F
Bench (10)
1 H. Moldovan
8 S. Cazorla
12 D. Calvo
11 S. Colombatto
16 D. Carmo
10 H. Hassan
19 A. Fores
3 R. Alhassane
34 A. Fernandez
27 P. Agudin

Coach: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,28
B
3,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manzano · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.