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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Cracovia
U U T T T
1–0
Full-time
GKS Katowice
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia GKS Katowice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
32%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,20 xG 1,67
40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 13. · GKS Katowice 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 25 11 8 6 +10 -1.8 41
2 Zaglebie 26 11 8 7 +10 -4.3 41
3 Lech Poznan 25 11 8 6 +6 +17.8 41
4 Gornik Zabrze 25 11 5 9 +4 -4.4 38
5 Rakow 25 11 4 10 +2 +7.7 37
6 Motor Lublin 26 9 10 7 -3 -5.6 37
7 Lechia Gdansk 25 10 6 9 +2 +2.8 36
8 Wisla Plock 25 9 9 7 +2 -0.4 36
9 GKS Katowice 25 11 3 11 +1 -7.5 36
10 Piast Gliwice 26 10 5 11 -1 -3.6 35
11 Pogon Szczecin 25 10 4 11 -3 +9.6 34
12 Radomiak Radom 26 8 9 9 +2 -1.2 33
13 Cracovia 25 8 9 8 +2 +3.6 33
14 Korona Kielce 25 9 6 10 +1 -5.4 33
15 Arka Gdynia 25 8 6 11 -16 -6.4 30
16 Legia 25 6 11 8 -1 +0.2 29
17 Widzew Lodz 25 8 4 13 -3 +4.9 28
18 Nieciecza 25 5 7 13 -15 -5.9 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia GKS Katowice
Mateusz Klich 🟨
5′
22′
🟨 Damian Rasak
Pau Sans 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
D. Kameri 🔁
↦ M. Tabisz
61′
68′
🔁 E. Markovic
↦ M. Wdowiak
J. Batoum 🔁
↦ M. Praszelik
77′
M. Dominguez 🔁
↦ M. Klich
77′
80′
🔁 B. Galan
↦ M. Wasielewski
80′
🔁 M. Wedrychowski
↦ D. Rasak
1–0 A. Hasic
80′
K. Glik 🔁
↦ P. Sans
86′
M. Minchev 🔁
↦ A. Hasic
86′
86′
🔁 A. Blad
↦ M. Kowalczyk
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cracovia

4-2-3-1
13 S. Madejski G
21 B. Sutalo D
66 O. Wojcik D
4 G. Henriksson D
20 K. Knap D
43 M. Klich M
6 A. Al Ammari M
11 P. Sans M
14 A. Hasic M
19 M. Tabisz M
7 M. Praszelik F
Bench (8)
27 H. Ravas
33 K. Cymerys
61 B. Traore
70 D. Kameri
29 J. Batoum
15 K. Glik
10 M. Dominguez
17 M. Minchev

Coach: Luka Elsner

GKS Katowice

3-4-2-1
12 R. Straczek G
30 A. Czerwinski D
4 A. Jedrych D
6 L. Klemenz D
97 E. Jirka M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
26 D. Rasak M
23 M. Wasielewski M
70 M. Wdowiak F
27 B. Nowak F
80 I. Shkurin F
Bench (10)
1 D. Kudla
2 M. Kuusk
8 B. Galan
15 E. Markovic
16 G. Rogala
10 M. Wedrychowski
21 J. Kokosinski
11 A. Blad
14 M. Olsen
19 K. Lukasiak

Coach: Rafal Gorak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Malec · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.