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Super League

Referee: L Fahndrich

Zurich

S T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Thun

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 54%

30%

77%

Points per game

1,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

80%

Both score Ø 72%

70%

73%

Average goals

3,4

3,5

Scored

1,4

2,4

Conceded

2,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,82 xG 1,64

43% Possession 57%

8 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 9

15 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 10. · Thun 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	30	23	2	5	+38	+6.5	71
2	St. Gallen	30	16	7	7	+23	+9.3	55
3	Lugano	30	14	8	8	+10	-4.5	50
4	Basel	30	14	7	9	+6	+12.1	49
5	Sion	30	11	12	7	+9	+9.7	45
6	Young Boys	30	13	6	11	+5	-1.4	45
7	Luzern	30	9	9	12	+2	+1.1	36
8	Lausanne	30	9	9	12	-4	+4.8	36
9	Servette	30	7	12	11	-8	+2.7	33
10	Zurich	30	9	4	17	-17	-5.0	31
11	Grasshoppers	30	5	9	16	-18	-13.4	24
12	Winterthur	30	4	7	19	-46	-22.0	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	11	2	3	+20	+3.7	35
2	Lugano	15	9	3	3	+11	-1.0	30
3	St. Gallen	16	9	2	5	+12	+12.1	29
4	Young Boys	14	8	2	4	+16	+10.3	26
5	Basel	15	7	5	3	+10	+17.3	26
6	Sion	15	7	5	3	+10	+4.9	26
7	Lausanne	15	4	5	6	+0	+9.2	17
8	Servette	15	3	7	5	-4	-0.6	16
9	Zurich	15	5	1	9	-6	+1.3	16
10	Luzern	15	3	5	7	-1	+3.9	14
11	Grasshoppers	15	3	5	7	-2	-4.0	14
12	Winterthur	14	2	4	8	-14	-4.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	14	12	0	2	+18	+2.8	36
2	St. Gallen	14	7	5	2	+11	-2.8	26
3	Basel	15	7	2	6	-4	-5.3	23
4	Luzern	15	6	4	5	+3	-2.8	22
5	Lugano	15	5	5	5	-1	-3.5	20
6	Sion	15	4	7	4	-1	+4.8	19
7	Lausanne	15	5	4	6	-4	-4.4	19
8	Young Boys	16	5	4	7	-11	-11.7	19
9	Servette	15	4	5	6	-4	+3.4	17
10	Zurich	15	4	3	8	-11	-6.3	15
11	Grasshoppers	15	2	4	9	-16	-9.3	10
12	Winterthur	16	2	3	11	-32	-18.0	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.