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LaLiga2
Referee: S Lax
Cadiz
U T T T S
0–3
Full-time
Malaga
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
47%
60%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,51 xG 1,98
46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 15. · Malaga 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 31 18 5 8 +18 -2.5 59
2 Almeria 31 16 7 8 +16 +2.2 55
3 La Coruna 30 15 7 8 +12 +2.4 52
4 Malaga 30 15 6 9 +12 +2.6 51
5 Castellon 30 14 7 9 +12 +3.7 49
6 Las Palmas 30 12 12 6 +15 +2.8 48
7 Burgos 30 13 8 9 +6 +2.9 47
8 Sp Gijon 30 13 6 11 +4 +1.1 45
9 Eibar 31 12 9 10 +3 +4.9 45
10 Ceuta 31 13 5 13 -11 -9.9 44
11 Albacete 31 11 9 11 -1 +1.8 42
12 Cordoba 30 11 8 11 -2 +3.4 41
13 Sociedad B 30 11 7 12 +3 -6.2 40
14 Andorra 31 10 9 12 -5 +2.8 39
15 Cadiz 30 10 8 12 -5 -4.7 38
16 Leganes 31 9 10 12 +2 +5.3 37
17 Granada 30 8 12 10 +1 +0.7 36
18 Valladolid 30 9 9 12 -8 +2.5 36
19 Huesca 31 8 7 16 -15 +0.1 31
20 Zaragoza 30 7 9 14 -15 -1.9 30
21 Cultural Leonesa 30 7 6 17 -21 -9.6 27
22 Mirandes 30 6 6 18 -21 -4.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Malaga
22′
Chupe 0–1
C. Dotor
33′
Chupe 0–2
Half-time 0–2
B. Kovacevic 🔁
↦ M. Diakite
46′
D. Camara 🔁
↦ A. Cordero
46′
47′
D. Lorenzo 0–3
D. Sanchez
65′
🔁 V. Garcia
↦ D. Sanchez
66′
🔁 J. Dorrio
↦ J. Munoz
R. Marti 🔁
↦ A. Pascual
68′
68′
🔁 A. Ochoa
↦ C. Dotor
J. de la Rosa 🔁
↦ I. Carcelen
76′
J. Domina 🔁
↦ Suso
76′
79′
🔁 E. Jauregi
↦ Chupe
79′
🔁 J. Lobete
↦ D. Larrubia
Jeronimo Domina 🟨
80′
Roger Martí 🟨
87′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
1 D. Gil G
20 I. Carcelen D
2 J. Moreno D
6 I. Recio D
33 R. Pereira D
15 S. Ortuno M
5 M. Diakite M
11 Suso M
18 Y. Diarra M
16 A. Cordero M
23 A. Pascual F
Bench (12)
13 V. Aznar
8 A. Fernandez
9 R. Marti
3 R. Kouame
14 B. Kovacevic
24 J. Gonzalez
19 J. de la Rosa
21 M. Climent
29 A. Caicedo
17 D. Camara
37 J. Domina
38 S. Arribas

Coach: Sergio

Malaga

4-4-2
1 A. Herrero G
3 C. Puga D
16 D. Murillo D
20 J. Montero D
18 D. Sanchez D
10 D. Larrubia M
23 I. Merino M
22 D. Lorenzo M
11 J. Munoz M
12 C. Dotor F
9 Chupe F
Bench (12)
13 C. Lopez
5 D. Brasanac
14 V. Garcia
25 J. Dorrio
17 E. Jauregi
24 J. Lobete
21 A. Nino
37 R. Rodriguez
8 Juanpe
36 A. Recio
2 J. Gabilondo
35 A. Ochoa

Coach: Juan Funes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,63
U
3,18
B ✓
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Lax · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.