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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Lugano

T T T S T

1–0

Full-time

Luzern

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,8

4,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

2,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 45%

43%

47%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

79%

60%

Both score Ø 65%

57%

73%

Average goals

3,6

3,3

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 22

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 9

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 6. · Luzern 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	15	8	6	1	+16	-0.6	30
2	Young Boys	14	8	4	2	+17	+0.8	28
3	Servette	15	8	4	3	+8	+8.5	28
4	St. Gallen	15	8	3	4	+10	+7.2	27
5	Luzern	15	7	3	5	-3	+1.4	24
6	Lugano	14	6	1	7	+2	+4.8	19
7	Lausanne	16	5	4	7	-4	+2.2	19
8	Grasshoppers	16	5	2	9	+0	-5.3	17
9	Yverdon	15	4	5	6	-11	-5.6	17
10	Winterthur	15	4	4	7	-8	-1.0	16
11	Basel	15	3	3	9	-12	-8.2	12
12	Lausanne Ouchy	15	2	5	8	-15	-4.2	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	7	7	0	0	+12	+2.6	21
2	Luzern	8	6	1	1	+6	+3.6	19
3	Zurich	8	5	2	1	+7	-1.4	17
4	Young Boys	6	5	1	0	+15	+2.3	16
5	Servette	8	4	3	1	+7	+3.5	15
6	Lausanne	8	4	2	2	+4	+1.8	14
7	Grasshoppers	8	4	1	3	+7	-1.9	13
8	Yverdon	8	3	3	2	-3	-1.2	12
9	Basel	8	3	2	3	+1	-3.6	11
10	Winterthur	7	3	2	2	+0	+1.3	11
11	Lugano	6	3	1	2	+3	+2.3	10
12	Lausanne Ouchy	8	1	4	3	-8	-1.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	7	3	4	0	+9	+0.8	13
2	Servette	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.0	13
3	Young Boys	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
4	Lugano	8	3	0	5	-1	+2.4	9
5	St. Gallen	8	1	3	4	-2	+4.6	6
6	Winterthur	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.3	5
7	Lausanne	8	1	2	5	-8	+0.4	5
8	Yverdon	7	1	2	4	-8	-4.4	5
9	Luzern	7	1	2	4	-9	-2.2	5
10	Lausanne Ouchy	7	1	1	5	-7	-3.1	4
11	Grasshoppers	8	1	1	6	-7	-3.5	4
12	Basel	7	0	1	6	-13	-4.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.