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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
St Etienne
T S S U T
0–2
Full-time
Le Havre
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,11 xG 2,38
59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 13. · Le Havre 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +9 +5.8 6
2 Lille 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.3 6
3 Monaco 2 2 0 0 +3 +3.7 6
4 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +4 +1.1 3
5 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +3 -0.0 3
6 Auxerre 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
7 Lens 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.8 3
8 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
9 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
10 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
11 Montpellier 2 0 1 1 -6 -2.7 1
12 Nice 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
13 St Etienne 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.5 0
14 Reims 1 0 0 1 -2 -2.0 0
15 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -3 -2.7 0
16 Angers 2 0 0 2 -3 -1.1 0
17 Brest 1 0 0 1 -4 -1.1 0
18 Lyon 2 0 0 2 -5 -2.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Le Havre
Marwann Nzuzi 🟨
33′
Mathieu Cafaro 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Arouna Sangante
42′
🟨 Josué Casimir
Half-time 0–0
D. Appiah 🔁
↦ M. Nzuzi
46′
57′
A. Touré 0–1
Gautier Larsonneur 🟨
58′
L. Mouton 🔁
↦ Z. Davitashvili
62′
A. Boakye 🔁
↦ F. Tardieu
62′
67′
A. Sangante 0–2
Y. Zouaoui
68′
🔁 R. Ndiaye
↦ J. Casimir
69′
🔁 E. Sabbi
↦ A. Sangante
69′
🔁 I. Soumaré
↦ O. Targhalline
75′
🔁 Y. Salmier
↦ Y. Zouaoui
I. Wadji 🔁
↦ I. Sissoko
78′
A. Aiki 🔁
↦ B. Old
85′
85′
🔁 S. Grandsir
↦ Y. Kechta
90′
🟨 Rassoul Ndiaye
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-1-4-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
35 M. Nzuzi D
21 D. Batubinsika D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
27 Y. Maçon D
10 F. Tardieu M
22 Z. Davitashvili M
11 B. Old M
37 M. Amougou M
18 M. Cafaro M
9 I. Sissoko F
Bench (9)
8 D. Appiah
14 L. Mouton
20 A. Boakye
25 I. Wadji
39 A. Aiki
26 L. Fomba
1 B. Maubleu
38 B. Owusu
3 M. Nadé

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Le Havre

5-4-1
30 A. Desmas G
7 L. Nego D
93 A. Sangante D
6 É. Youté D
4 G. Lloris D
18 Y. Zouaoui D
8 Y. Kechta M
94 A. Touré M
5 O. Targhalline M
21 A. Joujou M
23 J. Casimir F
Bench (9)
19 R. Ndiaye
11 E. Sabbi
45 I. Soumaré
22 Y. Salmier
29 S. Grandsir
1 M. Gorgelin
44 I. Bouneb
78 D. Mosengo
14 D. Kuzyaev

Coach: D. Digard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,09
U
3,41
B ✓
3,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.