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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Cracovia
U S T S S
3–2
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,13 xG 0,75
45% Possession 55%
18 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Cracovia 6. · Gornik Zabrze 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Rakow 6 3 2 1 +3 +4.8 11
2 Widzew Lodz 6 3 2 1 +2 -1.6 11
3 Legia 5 3 1 1 +5 +2.6 10
4 Pogon Szczecin 5 3 1 1 +5 +3.0 10
5 Lech Poznan 5 3 1 1 +4 +1.2 10
6 Cracovia 5 3 1 1 +3 -2.6 10
7 Jagiellonia 4 3 0 1 +3 -0.9 9
8 Piast Gliwice 5 2 2 1 +1 +1.2 8
9 Gornik Zabrze 5 2 2 1 +0 -0.9 8
10 Puszcza 6 1 3 2 +0 +1.4 6
11 Motor Lublin 5 1 3 1 +0 +0.8 6
12 GKS Katowice 5 1 2 2 -1 -2.1 5
13 Zaglebie 5 1 2 2 -2 -1.2 5
14 Stal Mielec 5 1 1 3 -2 +0.6 4
15 Slask Wroclaw 4 0 3 1 -2 +2.9 3
16 Radomiak Radom 5 1 0 4 -5 -0.8 3
17 Korona Kielce 5 0 2 3 -6 -5.2 2
18 Lechia Gdansk 6 0 2 4 -8 -3.4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Gornik Zabrze
20′
D. Rasak 0–1
T. Ismaheel
1–1 F. Rózga
B. Källman
26′
29′
🟨 Erik Janža
32′
T. Ismaheel 1–2
E. Janža
Half-time 1–2
A. Hasić 🔁
↦ A. Hoskonen
46′
57′
🟥 Rafał Janicki
58′
🔁 N. Wojtuszek
↦ T. Ismaheel
59′
🔁 K. Szcześniak
↦ L. Zahović
M. Maigaard 🔁
↦ Amir Al Ammari
65′
P. Sokołowski 🔁
↦ J. Atanasov
65′
B. Biedrzycki 🔁
↦ D. Ólafsson
65′
66′
🔁 S. Kozuki
↦ K. Lukoszek
2–2 A. Hasić
B. Källman
73′
75′
🔁 P. Olkowski
↦ P. Hellebrand
76′
🔁 Josema
↦ A. Buksa
2–3 Manu Sánchez
own goal
78′
Filip Rózga ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
83′
84′
🟥 Kryspin Szcześniak
M. Bochnak 🔁
↦ F. Rózga
87′
Otar Kakabadze 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
27 H. Ravas G
24 J. Jugas D
22 A. Hoskonen D
5 V. Ghiță D
25 O. Kakabadze M
8 J. Atanasov M
6 Amir Al Ammari M
19 D. Ólafsson M
18 F. Rózga
7 M. van Buren F
9 B. Källman F
Bench (9)
14 A. Hasić
11 M. Maigaard
88 P. Sokołowski
16 B. Biedrzycki
17 M. Bochnak
3 A. Skovgaard
20 K. Knap
13 S. Madejski
10 M. Rakoczy

Coach: D. Kroczek

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
25 M. Szromnik G
22 Manu Sánchez D
27 D. Szala D
26 R. Janicki D
64 E. Janža D
6 D. Rasak M
8 P. Hellebrand M
11 T. Ismaheel M
7 L. Zahović M
17 K. Lukoszek M
44 A. Buksa F
Bench (8)
15 N. Wojtuszek
5 K. Szcześniak
41 S. Kozuki
16 P. Olkowski
20 Josema
30 N. Zielonka
23 Filipe Nascimento
1 F. Majchrowicz

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Malec · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.