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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Servette
S S S S U
3–1
Full-time
Lausanne
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 41%
54%
27%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
46%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
62%
73%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

6,98 xG 0,70
50% Possession 50%
29 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Servette 2. · Lausanne 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 26 15 6 5 +27 +1.6 51
2 Servette 26 14 8 4 +16 +16.9 50
3 Lugano 27 13 4 10 +8 +6.1 43
4 Zurich 27 11 9 7 +10 +2.1 42
5 St. Gallen 27 12 4 11 +4 +11.6 40
6 Winterthur 27 11 7 9 -2 -4.4 40
7 Luzern 26 11 4 11 -3 +2.2 37
8 Yverdon 27 9 6 12 -18 -14.8 33
9 Basel 26 9 4 13 -7 -3.9 31
10 Grasshoppers 27 8 5 14 -3 -7.1 29
11 Lausanne 26 7 8 11 -5 +3.6 29
12 Lausanne Ouchy 26 3 7 16 -27 -13.9 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Servette Lausanne
-5′
🟨 Raoul Giger
25′
S. Pafundi 0–1
A. Bernede
Alexis Antunes ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
33′
34′
🟨 Berkay Dabanlı
1–1 T. Nishimura
34′
Half-time 1–1
E. Crivelli 🔁
↦ D. Kutesa
65′
70′
🔁 H. Loucif
↦ R. Giger
70′
🔁 B. Labeau
↦ K. Sène
J. Guillemenot 🔁
↦ T. Nishimura
77′
Timothé Cognat 🟨
79′
81′
🟨 Jamie Roche
2–1 E. Crivelli
82′
83′
🔁 A. Sanches
↦ J. Roche
83′
🔁 D. Rrudhani
↦ S. Pafundi
B. Bolla 🔁
↦ T. Cognat
88′
T. Magnin 🔁
↦ A. Antunes
88′
Dylan Bronn 🟨
89′
Dylan Bronn 🟨
89′
Dylan Bronn 🟥
89′
93′
🟨 Noë Dussenne
3–1 E. Crivelli
B. Bolla
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Servette

4-4-1-1
1 J. Mall G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
4 S. Rouiller D
25 D. Bronn D
18 B. Mazikou D
9 M. Stevanović M
5 G. Ondoua M
8 T. Cognat M
17 D. Kutesa M
10 A. Antunes F
7 T. Nishimura F
Bench (8)
27 E. Crivelli
21 J. Guillemenot
77 B. Bolla
20 T. Magnin
19 Y. Severin
32 J. Frick
6 A. Baron
30 S. Diba

Coach: R. Weiler

Lausanne

4-3-3
25 K. Letica G
34 R. Giger D
6 N. Dussenne D
5 B. Dabanlı D
18 M. Poaty D
30 S. Pafundi M
8 J. Roche M
24 A. Bernede M
10 O. Custodio F
9 K. Sène F
11 F. Diabaté F
Bench (9)
13 H. Loucif
96 B. Labeau
80 A. Sanches
29 D. Rrudhani
37 M. Nanizayamo
7 S. Kukuruzović
20 C. Kablan
1 T. Castella
17 S. Traore

Coach: L. Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.