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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Muñiz

Girona

T U U U T

0–1

Full-time

Alaves

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 26%

31%

21%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

59%

48%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,42 xG 0,80

64% Possession 36%

11 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 13. · Alaves 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	29	21	3	5	+54	+37.9	66
2	Real Madrid	29	19	6	4	+33	+24.1	63
3	Ath Madrid	29	16	9	4	+24	+19.5	57
4	Ath Bilbao	29	14	11	4	+22	+17.9	53
5	Villarreal	28	13	8	7	+12	+18.3	47
6	Betis	29	13	8	8	+4	+10.2	47
7	Celta	29	11	7	11	+0	+9.8	40
8	Vallecano	30	10	10	10	-2	-1.6	40
9	Mallorca	29	11	7	11	-7	+1.6	40
10	Sociedad	29	11	5	13	-4	-0.4	38
11	Getafe	29	9	9	11	+1	-7.6	36
12	Sevilla	29	9	9	11	-6	-8.3	36
13	Girona	29	9	7	13	-8	-4.1	34
14	Osasuna	29	7	13	9	-9	-9.7	34
15	Espanol	29	8	8	13	-9	-20.8	32
16	Valencia	29	7	10	12	-14	-7.9	31
17	Alaves	29	6	9	14	-12	-2.1	27
18	Leganes	29	6	9	14	-18	-23.6	27
19	Las Palmas	29	6	8	15	-15	-27.0	26
20	Valladolid	29	4	4	21	-46	-26.1	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	12	1	1	+22	+19.5	37
2	Ath Madrid	15	10	4	1	+15	+18.4	34
3	Barcelona	14	11	0	3	+30	+28.4	33
4	Ath Bilbao	15	8	6	1	+18	+12.9	30
5	Celta	15	9	3	3	+10	+6.7	30
6	Betis	15	8	5	2	+8	+15.0	29
7	Osasuna	15	6	6	3	+4	+2.9	24
8	Valencia	15	7	3	5	+3	+2.5	24
9	Espanol	15	6	6	3	+3	-5.8	24
10	Sociedad	15	7	2	6	+2	+4.2	23
11	Mallorca	15	6	5	4	+0	-0.1	23
12	Girona	14	6	3	5	+4	+5.8	21
13	Villarreal	13	5	5	3	+8	+8.9	20
14	Vallecano	15	5	5	5	-3	+5.9	20
15	Getafe	15	4	7	4	+2	+2.1	19
16	Sevilla	14	5	4	5	-4	-1.0	19
17	Leganes	14	5	2	7	-7	-8.8	17
18	Alaves	14	4	4	6	-4	+0.8	16
19	Las Palmas	14	3	5	6	-4	-6.3	14
20	Valladolid	14	3	4	7	-13	-7.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	10	3	2	+24	+9.5	33
2	Villarreal	15	8	3	4	+4	+9.3	27
3	Real Madrid	15	7	5	3	+11	+4.6	26
4	Ath Madrid	14	6	5	3	+9	+1.1	23
5	Ath Bilbao	14	6	5	3	+4	+5.0	23
6	Vallecano	15	5	5	5	+1	-7.6	20
7	Betis	14	5	3	6	-4	-4.9	18
8	Getafe	14	5	2	7	-1	-9.7	17
9	Sevilla	15	4	5	6	-2	-7.3	17
10	Mallorca	14	5	2	7	-7	+1.7	17
11	Sociedad	14	4	3	7	-6	-4.6	15
12	Girona	15	3	4	8	-12	-10.0	13
13	Las Palmas	15	3	3	9	-11	-20.7	12
14	Alaves	15	2	5	8	-8	-2.9	11
15	Celta	14	2	4	8	-10	+3.2	10
16	Leganes	15	1	7	7	-11	-14.7	10
17	Osasuna	14	1	7	6	-13	-12.5	10
18	Espanol	14	2	2	10	-12	-15.1	8
19	Valencia	14	0	7	7	-17	-10.3	7
20	Valladolid	15	1	0	14	-33	-19.0	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.