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Serie B
Referee: L Pairetto
Cittadella
T S T T U
0–0
Full-time
Carrarese
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Carrarese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 44%
42%
45%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 13. · Carrarese 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 31 22 6 3 +39 72
2 Pisa 31 18 7 6 +22 61
3 Spezia 31 14 13 4 +22 55
4 Cremonese 32 14 10 8 +16 52
5 Catanzaro 31 10 16 5 +8 46
6 Juve Stabia 31 12 10 9 +1 46
7 Palermo 31 11 9 11 +6 42
8 Cesena 31 11 9 11 +1 42
9 Bari 31 8 16 7 +3 40
10 Modena 31 8 14 9 +1 38
11 Carrarese 31 9 9 13 -9 36
12 Frosinone 31 8 12 11 -11 36
13 Cittadella 31 9 8 14 -20 35
14 Brescia 31 7 13 11 -6 34
15 Sudtirol 31 9 7 15 -10 34
16 Mantova 31 7 12 12 -10 33
17 Sampdoria 31 6 14 11 -10 32
18 Reggiana 32 7 11 14 -11 32
19 Salernitana 31 7 9 15 -13 30
20 Cosenza 31 6 11 14 -19 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Carrarese
Elio Capradossi 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
L. Pandolfi 🔁
↦ O. Okwonkwo
59′
F. Amatucci 🔁
↦ S. Tronchin
60′
D. Diaw 🔁
↦ S. Rabbi
60′
61′
🔁 G. Manzari
↦ T. Milanese
61′
🔁 F. Melegoni
↦ L. Cherubini
74′
🔁 S. Shpendi
↦ M. Finotto
74′
🔁 D. Bouah
↦ M. Cicconi
A. Tessiore 🔁
↦ A. Vita
79′
80′
🔁 L. Capezzi
↦ S. Giovane
F. Casolari 🔁
↦ F. DAlessio
89′
90′
🟨 Giacomo Manzari
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cittadella

3-5-2
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
26 N. Pavan D
13 E. Capradossi D
19 F. D'Alessio M
16 A. Vita M
37 R. Palmieri M
17 S. Tronchin M
32 E. Masciangelo M
21 S. Rabbi F
31 O. Okwonkwo F
Bench (12)
7 L. Pandolfi
8 F. Amatucci
9 D. Diaw
18 A. Tessiore
5 F. Casolari
6 E. Matino
11 J. Desogus
45 M. Cardinali
35 S. Piccinini
28 A. Rizza
78 L. Maniero
20 D. Voltan

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Carrarese

3-5-2
98 V. Fiorillo G
4 J. Illanes D
34 G. Guarino D
3 M. Imperiale D
72 S. Zanon M
17 E. Zuelli M
10 T. Milanese M
20 S. Giovane M
11 M. Cicconi M
9 L. Cherubini F
32 M. Finotto F
Bench (12)
28 G. Manzari
5 F. Melegoni
19 S. Shpendi
13 D. Bouah
82 L. Capezzi
6 F. Oliana
44 G. Mazzi
92 E. Torregrossa
47 A. Fontanarosa
16 M. Cavion
18 N. Schiavi
30 N. Ravaglia

Coach: A. Calabro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U ✓
2,99
B
2,71
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.