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Serie B

Referee: D Di Marco

Brescia

U T U T S

1–2

Full-time

Mantova

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 23%

23%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

39%

48%

Both score Ø 57%

55%

58%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

14 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 14. · Mantova 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	31	22	6	3	+39	72
2	Pisa	31	18	7	6	+22	61
3	Spezia	31	14	13	4	+22	55
4	Cremonese	32	14	10	8	+16	52
5	Catanzaro	31	10	16	5	+8	46
6	Juve Stabia	31	12	10	9	+1	46
7	Palermo	31	11	9	11	+6	42
8	Cesena	31	11	9	11	+1	42
9	Bari	31	8	16	7	+3	40
10	Modena	31	8	14	9	+1	38
11	Carrarese	31	9	9	13	-9	36
12	Frosinone	31	8	12	11	-11	36
13	Cittadella	31	9	8	14	-20	35
14	Brescia	31	7	13	11	-6	34
15	Sudtirol	31	9	7	15	-10	34
16	Mantova	31	7	12	12	-10	33
17	Sampdoria	31	6	14	11	-10	32
18	Reggiana	32	7	11	14	-11	32
19	Salernitana	31	7	9	15	-13	30
20	Cosenza	31	6	11	14	-19	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	16	13	2	1	+27	41
2	Pisa	15	11	3	1	+18	36
3	Spezia	15	9	4	2	+14	31
4	Catanzaro	16	7	7	2	+12	28
5	Carrarese	16	8	4	4	+4	28
6	Cesena	16	7	6	3	+7	27
7	Juve Stabia	15	8	3	4	+5	27
8	Modena	15	6	7	2	+7	25
9	Cremonese	16	6	6	4	+5	24
10	Bari	16	5	9	2	+4	24
11	Mantova	15	6	5	4	+1	23
12	Palermo	15	6	4	5	+4	22
13	Salernitana	16	6	4	6	+0	22
14	Frosinone	16	4	7	5	-6	19
15	Reggiana	16	4	6	6	-2	18
16	Sampdoria	16	4	6	6	-4	18
17	Cosenza	16	4	6	6	-7	18
18	Brescia	15	3	8	4	+0	17
19	Sudtirol	15	4	5	6	-5	17
20	Cittadella	15	2	6	7	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	9	4	2	+12	31
2	Cremonese	16	8	4	4	+11	28
3	Pisa	16	7	4	5	+4	25
4	Spezia	16	5	9	2	+8	24
5	Cittadella	16	7	2	7	-10	23
6	Palermo	16	5	5	6	+2	20
7	Juve Stabia	16	4	7	5	-4	19
8	Catanzaro	15	3	9	3	-4	18
9	Sudtirol	16	5	2	9	-5	17
10	Frosinone	15	4	5	6	-5	17
11	Brescia	16	4	5	7	-6	17
12	Bari	15	3	7	5	-1	16
13	Cesena	15	4	3	8	-6	15
14	Sampdoria	15	2	8	5	-6	14
15	Reggiana	16	3	5	8	-9	14
16	Modena	16	2	7	7	-6	13
17	Cosenza	15	2	5	8	-12	11
18	Mantova	16	1	7	8	-11	10
19	Carrarese	15	1	5	9	-13	8
20	Salernitana	15	1	5	9	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.