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Super League

Referee: Alessandro Dudic

Servette

T U T U T

2–2

Full-time

Luzern

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 88%

100%

75%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,88 xG 1,33

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Servette 12. · Luzern 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	5	4	1	0	+7	-0.9	13
2	St. Gallen	5	4	0	1	+9	+7.2	12
3	Basel	5	3	0	2	+2	+5.5	9
4	Sion	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.8	7
5	Luzern	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.6	7
6	Zurich	5	2	1	2	-2	+0.4	7
7	Young Boys	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
8	Grasshoppers	5	0	3	2	-2	-3.9	3
9	Lausanne	4	1	0	3	-2	+2.7	3
10	Lugano	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.8	3
11	Winterthur	5	0	2	3	-8	-5.8	2
12	Servette	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	3	2	0	1	+5	+3.3	6
2	Basel	2	2	0	0	+4	+5.3	6
3	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.0	4
4	Thun	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
5	Sion	2	1	0	1	+3	-1.2	3
6	Lugano	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
7	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
8	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
9	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
10	Winterthur	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
11	Servette	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
12	Zurich	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
3	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
4	Luzern	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.0	6
5	Sion	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
6	Basel	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.2	3
7	Grasshoppers	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.4	2
8	Young Boys	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
9	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.5	1
10	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
11	Servette	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
12	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-4	+0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.