Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Grasshoppers
Lausanne
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St. Gallen
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +10 | +6.0 | 15 |
| 2 |
Thun
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | -1.1 | 13 |
| 3 |
Basel
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +4 | +5.7 | 12 |
| 4 |
Sion
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | -0.3 | 10 |
| 5 |
Zurich
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.0 | 10 |
| 6 |
Luzern
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | -2.1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Young Boys
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | -1.3 | 8 |
| 8 |
Grasshoppers
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -3.9 | 3 |
| 9 |
Lausanne
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | +2.7 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lugano
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | +1.8 | 3 |
| 11 |
Servette
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | -0.1 | 2 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9 | -6.3 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Hammel
G
D. Paloschi
D
S. Marques
M
T. Meyer
M
H. Imourane
M
S. Stroscio
M
L. Plange
F
N. Muci
F
J. Asp
F
Coach: Gerald Scheiblehner
K. Letica
G
K. Mouanga
D
K. Sow
D
M. Poaty
D
B. Soppy
M
S. N'Diaye
M
O. Custodio
M
B. Lekoueiry
M
A. Ajdini
F
N. Butler-Oyedeji
F
Coach: Peter Zeidler
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Thun
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Winterthur
Servette
Grasshoppers
Basel
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Luzern
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.