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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
RB Leipzig
U T S S U
4–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
3,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-3,0
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
6,0
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
5,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-5,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

67% Possession 33%
21 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 8. · Schalke 04 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +5 6
3 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Hoffenheim 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Werder Bremen 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Stuttgart 3 1 1 1 +2 4
7 Union Berlin 3 1 1 1 +2 4
8 RB Leipzig 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Bielefeld 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Freiburg 3 1 1 1 -3 4
12 Bayern Munich 2 1 0 1 +5 3
13 Hertha 2 1 0 1 +1 3
14 Leverkusen 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Wolfsburg 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 FC Koln 3 0 0 3 -4 0
17 Mainz 3 0 0 3 -9 0
18 Schalke 04 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Schalke 04
22′
🔁 C. Bozdogan
↦ S. Serdar
0–1 C. Bozdogan
own goal
31′
1–1 Angeliño
C. Nkunku
35′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 V. Ibišević
↦ Gonçalo Paciência
46′
🔁 F. Rønnow
↦ R. Fährmann
2–1 V. Orban
M. Halstenberg
47′
64′
🟨 Salif Sané
L. Klostermann 🔁
↦ D. Upamecano
71′
A. Sørloth 🔁
↦ E. Forsberg
72′
B. Henrichs 🔁
↦ K. Kampl
76′
79′
🟨 Matija Nastasić
3–1 M. Halstenberg
80′
Alexander Sørloth 🟨
83′
L. Samardžić 🔁
↦ Daniel Olmo
83′
J. Wosz 🔁
↦ Angeliño
83′
90′
🟨 Vedad Ibišević
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
23 M. Halstenberg D
4 V. Orban D
3 Angeliño M
22 N. Mukiele D
5 D. Upamecano D
44 K. Kampl M
18 C. Nkunku M
25 Daniel Olmo M
8 A. Haidara M
10 E. Forsberg F
Bench (8)
16 L. Klostermann
19 A. Sørloth
39 B. Henrichs
20 L. Samardžić
47 J. Wosz
13 P. Tschauner
11 Hwang Hee-Chan
9 Y. Poulsen

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Schalke 04

3-5-2
1 R. Fährmann G
24 B. Oczipka M
5 M. Nastasić D
17 B. Stambouli D
26 S. Sané D
6 Omar Mascarell M
10 N. Bentaleb M
28 A. Schöpf M
8 S. Serdar M
18 Gonçalo Paciência F
7 M. Uth F
Bench (9)
40 C. Bozdogan
11 V. Ibišević
23 F. Rønnow
3 H. Mendyl
13 S. Rudy
15 A. Kutucu
22 S. Skrzybski
9 B. Raman
16 N. Boujellab

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,26
U
6,14
B
10,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,42
U2,5
2,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.