← Match Finder
Serie A
Referee: M Mariani
Atalanta
S U S T S
1–2
Full-time
Napoli
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Atalanta Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
25%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 2. · Napoli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 12 10 2 0 +21 32
2 Atalanta 12 8 3 1 +10 27
3 Milan 12 8 2 2 +12 26
4 Roma 12 8 1 3 +5 25
5 Lazio 12 7 3 2 +16 24
6 Inter 12 8 0 4 +8 24
7 Udinese 13 6 5 2 +8 23
8 Juventus 12 6 4 2 +11 22
9 Salernitana 13 4 5 4 -1 17
10 Torino 12 5 2 5 -2 17
11 Sassuolo 13 4 3 6 -4 15
12 Empoli 13 3 5 5 -7 14
13 Bologna 12 3 4 5 -4 13
14 Fiorentina 12 3 4 5 -4 13
15 Monza 12 3 1 8 -10 10
16 Lecce 13 1 6 6 -6 9
17 Spezia 12 2 3 7 -12 9
18 Cremonese 13 0 6 7 -13 6
19 Sampdoria 12 1 3 8 -15 6
20 Verona 12 1 2 9 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Napoli
Rasmus Winther Højlund ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
18′
1–0 A. Lookman
19′
23′
V. Osimhen 1–1
P. Zieliński
Merih Demiral 🟨
35′
35′
E. Elmas 1–2
V. Osimhen
Half-time 1–2
57′
🟨 Min-jae Kim
Rasmus Winther Højlund 🟨
58′
63′
🔁 M. Politano
↦ H. Lozano
64′
🔁 T. Ndombélé
↦ P. Zieliński
D. Zapata 🔁
↦ R. Højlund
70′
R. Malinovskyi 🔁
↦ M. Pašalić
71′
75′
🔁 G. Simeone
↦ V. Osimhen
J. Boga 🔁
↦ A. Lookman
81′
M. de Roon 🔁
↦ T. Koopmeiners
81′
B. Soppy 🔁
↦ H. Hateboer
86′
Joakim Mæhle 🟨
92′
Duván Zapata 🟨
92′
Rafael Tolói 🟨
93′
93′
🔁 A. Zerbin
↦ E. Elmas
93′
🔁 G. Gaetano
↦ A. Zambo Anguissa
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
1 J. Musso G
2 R. Tolói D
28 M. Demiral D
42 G. Scalvini D
33 H. Hateboer M
7 T. Koopmeiners M
13 Éderson M
3 J. Mæhle M
88 M. Pašalić F
17 R. Højlund F
11 A. Lookman F
Bench (11)
91 D. Zapata
18 R. Malinovskyi
10 J. Boga
15 M. de Roon
93 B. Soppy
19 B. Djimsiti
5 C. Okoli
21 N. Zortea
57 M. Sportiello
22 M. Ruggeri
31 F. Rossi

Coach: G. Gasperini

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
5 Juan Jesus D
17 M. Olivera D
99 A. Zambo Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
20 P. Zieliński M
11 H. Lozano F
9 V. Osimhen F
7 E. Elmas F
Bench (13)
21 M. Politano
91 T. Ndombélé
18 G. Simeone
23 A. Zerbin
70 G. Gaetano
55 L. Østigård
59 A. Zanoli
4 D. Demme
81 G. Raspadori
12 D. Marfella
30 S. Sirigu
31 K. Zedadka
6 Mário Rui

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,39
U
3,69
B ✓
2,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.