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Ligue 2
Referee: W Toulliou
Dijon
U T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Guingamp
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
23%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 17. · Guingamp 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 14 8 3 3 +11 27
2 Le Havre 13 7 5 1 +16 26
3 Sochaux 13 7 3 3 +12 24
4 Amiens 13 7 2 4 +2 23
5 Grenoble 13 6 4 3 +3 22
6 Valenciennes 13 6 4 3 +2 22
7 Caen 13 6 3 4 +3 21
8 Guingamp 13 5 4 4 +1 19
9 Bastia 13 5 3 5 -4 18
10 Paris FC 13 4 5 4 +0 17
11 Pau FC 13 4 5 4 -4 17
12 Metz 13 4 3 6 -1 15
13 Quevilly Rouen 13 3 6 4 -4 15
14 Laval 13 4 2 7 -1 14
15 St Etienne 13 3 5 5 -3 14
16 Nimes 14 4 2 8 -5 14
17 Dijon 13 3 4 6 -5 13
18 Annecy 13 3 3 7 -3 12
19 Rodez 13 2 6 5 -7 12
20 Niort 13 3 2 8 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Guingamp
Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa 🟨
7′
9′
🟨 Stephen Quemper
41′
🟨 Baptiste Roux
Half-time 0–0
V. Jacob 🔁
↦ L. Deaux
46′
47′
T. Luvambo 0–1
M. Barthelmé
50′
🟨 Arthur Vitelli
1–1 Z. Touré
52′
I. Camara 🔁
↦ R. Assalé
67′
A. Dobre 🔁
↦ B. Soumaré
67′
70′
🟨 Vincent Manceau
71′
🔁 H. Picard
↦ M. Barthelmé
Daniel Congré 🟨
76′
83′
🔁 W. Tchimbembé
↦ T. Muyumba
84′
🔁 J. Gaudin
↦ S. Quemper
J. Marié 🔁
↦ O. Thioune
90′
90′
🔁 M. Baaloudj
↦ J. Livolant
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dijon

4-3-1-2
30 B. Reynet G
92 A. Ngouyamsa D
32 Z. Touré D
3 D. Congré D
12 A. Fofana D
88 L. Deaux M
20 D. Ndong M
93 O. Thioune M
8 M. Le Bihan M
28 B. Soumaré F
77 R. Assalé F
Bench (7)
11 V. Jacob
18 I. Camara
7 A. Dobre
14 J. Marié
16 S. Allagbé
5 S. Coulibaly
9 L. Tchaouna

Coach: O. Daf

Guingamp

3-5-2
16 E. Basilio G
15 V. Manceau D
3 A. Vitelli D
2 B. Roux D
23 T. Luvambo M
28 M. Barthelmé M
4 D. Louiserre M
6 T. Muyumba M
11 S. Quemper M
29 J. Livolant F
18 G. Courtet F
Bench (7)
37 H. Picard
12 W. Tchimbembé
25 J. Gaudin
22 M. Baaloudj
5 H. Camara
8 S. Diarra
30 D. Youfeigane

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U ✓
3,09
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Toulliou · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.