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Premier League
Referee: A Taylor
Bournemouth
U S U T T
2–3
Full-time
Tottenham
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
25%
58%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
33%
58%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
2,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
6 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 19
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 14. · Tottenham 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 12 9 2 1 +26 29
2 Arsenal 11 9 1 1 +14 28
3 Tottenham 12 7 2 3 +9 23
4 Newcastle 12 5 6 1 +10 21
5 Chelsea 11 6 3 2 +5 21
6 Man United 11 6 2 3 +0 20
7 Fulham 12 5 3 4 +0 18
8 Liverpool 11 4 4 3 +9 16
9 Brighton 11 4 3 4 +1 15
10 West Ham 12 4 2 6 -1 14
11 Brentford 12 3 5 4 -3 14
12 Everton 12 3 4 5 -1 13
13 Crystal Palace 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Bournemouth 12 3 4 5 -15 13
15 Aston Villa 12 3 3 6 -5 12
16 Southampton 12 3 3 6 -8 12
17 Leicester 13 3 2 8 -4 11
18 Leeds 11 2 3 6 -5 9
19 Wolves 12 2 3 7 -13 9
20 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bournemouth Tottenham
1–0 K. Moore
M. Tavernier
22′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Lucas Moura
↦ O. Skipp
2–0 K. Moore
A. Smith
49′
57′
🔁 E. Dier
↦ D. Sánchez
57′
R. Sessegnon 2–1
P. Højbjerg
58′
🔁 R. Bentancur
↦ Y. Bissouma
61′
🟨 Ryan Sessegnon
J. Anthony 🔁
↦ P. Billing
63′
63′
🔁 I. Perišić
↦ Emerson
69′
🟨 Harry Kane
73′
B. Davies 2–2
I. Perišić
R. Fredericks 🔁
↦ M. Tavernier
78′
Lewis Cook 🟨
82′
84′
🔁 Bryan Gil
↦ R. Sessegnon
J. Stephens 🔁
↦ D. Solanke
89′
92′
R. Bentancur 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Bournemouth

3-5-1-1
1 M. Travers G
15 A. Smith D
6 C. Mepham D
25 M. Senesi D
16 M. Tavernier M
4 L. Cook M
8 J. Lerma M
29 P. Billing M
33 J. Zemura M
9 D. Solanke F
21 K. Moore F
Bench (9)
32 J. Anthony
2 R. Fredericks
3 J. Stephens
10 R. Christie
19 J. Stanislas
18 J. Lowe
22 B. Pearson
14 J. Rothwell
45 C. Plain

Coach: G. O'Neil

Tottenham

3-5-2
1 H. Lloris G
6 D. Sánchez D
34 C. Lenglet D
33 B. Davies D
12 Emerson M
4 O. Skipp M
38 Y. Bissouma M
5 P. Højbjerg M
19 R. Sessegnon M
10 H. Kane F
7 Son Heung-Min F
Bench (9)
27 Lucas Moura
15 E. Dier
30 R. Bentancur
14 I. Perišić
11 Bryan Gil
20 F. Forster
25 J. Tanganga
2 M. Doherty
24 D. Spence

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,10
U
3,91
B ✓
1,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.