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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martínez

Sevilla

S S S U S

0–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

25%

100%

Average goals

1,5

3,8

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 7

0 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

9 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Real Madrid 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Bilbao	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Granada	5	3	1	1	+6	10
3	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Levante	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Osasuna	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Getafe	5	1	3	1	+1	6
12	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Alaves	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Betis	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Valladolid	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Celta	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Eibar	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Levante	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Getafe	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Betis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Granada	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Osasuna	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Celta	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Granada	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-3	4
8	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Eibar	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Barcelona	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Betis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Levante	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Mallorca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.