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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Ath Madrid
S U S S U
6–1
Full-time
Granada
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Betis 3 2 0 1 +2 6
3 Sociedad 3 1 2 0 +3 5
4 Valencia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
5 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Celta 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Getafe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Osasuna 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Ath Bilbao 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Huesca 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Eibar 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Alaves 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Elche 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Granada
-5′
🟨 Ángel Montoro
1–0 Diego Costa ⚽
Á. Correa
9′
15′
🟨 Domingos Duarte
João Félix 🟨
27′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Á. Correa ⚽
João Félix
47′
Saúl Ñíguez 🟨
59′
59′
🔁 Alberto Soro
↦ Kenedy
60′
🔁 D. Machís
↦ Antonio Puertas
3–0 João Félix ⚽
Á. Correa
65′
L. Suárez 🔁
↦ Diego Costa
71′
Llorente 🔁
↦ João Félix
71′
T. Partey 🔁
↦ Y. Carrasco
71′
71′
🔁 Fede Vico
↦ Y. Herrera
71′
🔁 Y. Eteki
↦ Luis Milla
4–0 Llorente ⚽
L. Suárez
72′
Thomas Partey 🟨
74′
T. Lemar 🔁
↦ Koke
77′
Vitolo 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
77′
Luis Suárez ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
81′
84′
🔁 Germán Sánchez
↦ Domingos Duarte
5–0 L. Suárez ⚽
Llorente
85′
87′
⚽ Jorge Molina 5–1
6–1 L. Suárez ⚽
93′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
15 S. Savić D
23 K. Trippier D
18 Felipe D
12 Renan Lodi D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
21 Y. Carrasco M
19 Diego Costa F
10 Á. Correa M
7 João Félix F
Bench (12)
9 L. Suárez
14 Llorente
5 T. Partey
11 T. Lemar
20 Vitolo
1 I. Grbić
17 I. Šaponjić
27 Sergio Camello
4 N. Pérez
16 H. Herrera
3 Manu Sánchez
22 Hermoso

Coach: D. Simeone

Granada

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
16 Víctor Díaz D
2 D. Foulquier D
20 Vallejo D
22 Domingos Duarte D
12 R. Azeez M
10 Antonio Puertas M
5 Luis Milla M
24 Kenedy M
21 Y. Herrera M
23 Jorge Molina F
Bench (12)
26 Alberto Soro
11 D. Machís
14 Fede Vico
8 Y. Eteki
6 Germán Sánchez
7 Antoñín Cortés
9 Soldado
19 Montoro
13 Aarón Escandell
4 M. Gonalons
15 Carlos Neva
35 Andorinha

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,00
B
7,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.