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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Betis
S S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,8
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 8
4 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 6. · Villarreal 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 5 5 0 0 +10 15
2 Barcelona 5 4 1 0 +14 13
3 Villarreal 4 3 1 0 +9 10
4 Ath Bilbao 5 3 1 1 +7 10
5 Ath Madrid 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Betis 4 3 0 1 +4 9
7 Osasuna 4 3 0 1 +3 9
8 Girona 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Vallecano 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Celta 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Valencia 5 2 0 3 +2 6
13 Mallorca 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Almeria 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Espanol 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Sevilla 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Valladolid 5 1 1 3 -7 4
18 Getafe 5 1 1 3 -8 4
19 Elche 5 0 1 4 -11 1
20 Cadiz 5 0 0 5 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Villarreal
40′
🟨 Yéremy Pino
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 Álex Baena
↦ Gerard Moreno
54′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ Yeremi Pino
1–0 Rodri
Luiz Henrique
61′
Aitor Ruibal 🔁
↦ Rodri
69′
71′
🔁 J. Mojica
↦ Pedraza
71′
🔁 F. Coquelin
↦ É. Capoue
78′
🔁 José Luis Morales
↦ N. Jackson
A. Guardado 🔁
↦ Luiz Henrique
84′
Andrés Guardado 🟨
89′
Willian José 🔁
↦ Borja Iglesias
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
23 Y. Sabaly D
16 G. Pezzella D
19 Luiz Felipe D
15 Álex Moreno D
5 G. Rodríguez M
14 William Carvalho M
11 Luiz Henrique M
10 Sergio Canales M
28 Rodri M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (11)
24 Aitor Ruibal
18 A. Guardado
12 Willian José
3 Edgar González
17 Joaquín
21 Loren Morón
25 Dani Martín
4 P. Akouokou
1 C. Bravo
33 Juan Miranda
2 Martín Montoya

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Villarreal

4-4-2
13 G. Rulli G
2 Kiko Femenía D
3 Raúl Albiol D
4 Pau Torres D
24 Pedraza D
21 Yeremi Pino M
6 É. Capoue M
10 Dani Parejo M
17 G. Lo Celso M
7 Gerard Moreno F
15 N. Jackson F
Bench (10)
16 Álex Baena
11 S. Chukwueze
12 J. Mojica
19 F. Coquelin
22 José Luis Morales
5 Jorge Cuenca
23 A. Mandi
31 Iker Álvarez
35 F. Jörgensen
20 Manu Morlanes

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,88
U
3,48
B
2,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.