La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Villarreal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 15 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +14 | 13 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 10 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 |
Osasuna
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Girona
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |
Vallecano
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 7 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Sociedad
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 |
Valencia
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 13 |
Mallorca
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Almeria
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |
Sevilla
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Valladolid
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |
Getafe
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 |
Elche
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 1 |
| 20 |
Cadiz
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -14 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Rui Silva
G
Álex Moreno
D
G. Rodríguez
M
Sergio Canales
M
Borja Iglesias
F
Coach: M. Pellegrini
G. Rulli
G
Kiko Femenía
D
Pau Torres
D
Pedraza
D
Yeremi Pino
M
G. Lo Celso
M
Gerard Moreno
F
N. Jackson
F
Coach: Unai Emery
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
HJK Helsinki
Betis
Real Madrid
Betis
Betis
Osasuna
Mallorca
Betis
Betis
Elche
Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.