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La Liga
Referee: Cesar Soto Grado
Cadiz
U U T T T
2–2
Full-time
Sevilla
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 21%
20%
22%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
30%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,09 xG 1,38
35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 12
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 16. · Sevilla 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 11 9 1 1 +15 +9.0 28
2 Girona 11 9 1 1 +12 +4.9 28
3 Barcelona 11 7 3 1 +11 +13.8 24
4 Ath Madrid 9 7 1 1 +15 +7.8 22
5 Sociedad 10 5 3 2 +6 -1.1 18
6 Ath Bilbao 10 5 2 3 +6 +6.2 17
7 Vallecano 10 4 4 2 -1 +1.1 16
8 Valencia 10 4 2 4 +1 +0.6 14
9 Betis 10 3 5 2 -2 -3.0 14
10 Las Palmas 11 4 2 5 -2 -2.2 14
11 Osasuna 10 4 1 5 -3 -3.1 13
12 Getafe 11 2 6 3 -3 -4.8 12
13 Sevilla 9 2 3 4 +1 -3.2 9
14 Mallorca 11 1 6 4 -4 -2.6 9
15 Villarreal 10 2 3 5 -4 -2.9 9
16 Cadiz 10 2 3 5 -6 -6.3 9
17 Alaves 10 2 3 5 -6 +0.4 9
18 Celta 11 1 3 7 -9 -2.2 6
19 Granada 10 1 3 6 -10 -10.1 6
20 Almeria 11 0 3 8 -17 -2.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Sevilla
José Mari 🟨
-5′
3′
🟨 Sergio Ramos
1–0 Chris Ramos
Roger Martí
8′
Iván Alejo 🟨
11′
Fali 🟨
14′
Rominigue Kouamé 🟨
24′
2–0 Darwin Machís
Roger Martí
28′
37′
Lucas Ocampos 2–1
Juanlu Sánchez
Half-time 2–1
46′
🟨 Boubakary Soumaré
Jorge Meré 🔁
↦ Fali
46′
Rubén Sobrino 🔁
↦ Darwin Machís
46′
Lucas Pires 🟨
51′
58′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ Suso
58′
🔁 Youssef En-Nesyri
↦ Dodi Lukebakio
60′
Ivan Rakitić 2–2
71′
🟨 Lucas Ocampos
73′
🔁 Jesús Navas
↦ Juanlu Sánchez
Gonzalo Escalante 🔁
↦ Rominigue Kouamé
74′
Rubén Sobrino 🟨
77′
79′
🟨 Marcos Acuña
Álex Fernández 🔁
↦ Iván Alejo
81′
81′
🔁 Rafa Mir
↦ Mariano Díaz
81′
🔁 Adrià Pedrosa
↦ Marcos Acuña
Sergi Guardiola 🔁
↦ Roger Martí
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 Jeremías Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
3 Fali D
15 Javier Hernández D
33 Lucas Pires D
11 Iván Alejo M
12 Rominigue Kouamé M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
18 Darwin Machís M
21 Roger Martí F
16 Chris Ramos F
Bench (12)
22 Jorge Meré
7 Rubén Sobrino
17 Gonzalo Escalante
8 Álex Fernández
19 Sergi Guardiola
13 David Gil
5 Víctor Chust
2 Joseba Zaldúa
6 José Mari
29 Aristide Njalla
25 Maximiliano Gómez
9 Álvaro Negredo

Coach: Sergio

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Ørjan Nyland G
26 Juanlu Sánchez D
6 Nemanja Gudelj D
4 Sergio Ramos D
19 Marcos Acuña D
7 Suso M
24 Boubakary Soumaré M
10 Ivan Rakitić M
11 Dodi Lukebakio F
12 Mariano Díaz F
5 Lucas Ocampos F
Bench (12)
21 Óliver Torres
15 Youssef En-Nesyri
16 Jesús Navas
3 Adrià Pedrosa
9 Rafa Mir
1 Marko Dmitrović
14 Tanguy Nianzou
22 Loïc Badé
27 Kike Salas
20 Fernando
17 Erik Lamela
8 Joan Jordán

Coach: D. Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,29
U ✓
3,34
B
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Cesar Soto Grado · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.