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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Pau FC
T S S U T
3–2
Full-time
Grenoble
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Grenoble
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
36%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
64%
36%
Both score Ø 36%
36%
36%
Average goals
3,1
1,9
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 9. · Grenoble 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 11 8 1 2 +7 25
2 Angers 11 7 2 2 +9 23
3 Auxerre 11 6 4 1 +13 22
4 Grenoble 11 5 6 0 +7 21
5 St Etienne 11 6 3 2 +5 21
6 Rodez 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Ajaccio 11 4 5 2 +0 17
8 Guingamp 11 4 4 3 +6 16
9 Pau FC 11 4 3 4 -2 15
10 Amiens 11 4 3 4 -3 15
11 Caen 11 4 2 5 +3 14
12 Bordeaux 12 3 4 5 -6 13
13 Annecy 11 2 6 3 -2 12
14 Bastia 11 3 3 5 -6 12
15 Concarneau 11 3 3 5 -6 12
16 Paris FC 11 3 1 7 -4 10
17 Troyes 11 1 6 4 -2 9
18 Valenciennes 11 1 5 5 -8 8
19 Quevilly Rouen 11 1 4 6 -5 7
20 Dunkerque 11 1 3 7 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Grenoble
9′
P. Meïssa Ba 0–1
15′
🟨 Pape Meissa Ba
1–1 M. Bassouamina
23′
Steeve Beusnard 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–2
59′
P. Meïssa Ba 1–2
A. Sbaï
62′
🔁 E. Sylvestre
↦ B. Isola
L. Pirringuel 🔁
↦ S. Beusnard
67′
O. Ngom 🔁
↦ L. Mouton
67′
Lenny Pirringuel 🟨
70′
J. Obiang 🔁
↦ K. Boto
72′
73′
🔁 N. Thio
↦ A. Sbaï
73′
🔁 V. Postolachi
↦ P. Meïssa Ba
C. Boli 🔁
↦ M. Bassouamina
80′
80′
🔁 L. Nestor
↦ J. Benet
2–2 K. Boutaïb
J. Ruiz
82′
89′
🟨 Adrien Monfray
3–2 C. Boli
M. Sylla
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-4-2
1 B. Kamara G
2 T. Koudou D
4 X. Kouassi D
25 J. Ruiz D
24 K. Boto D
21 S. Beusnard M
6 S. D'Almeida M
13 L. Mouton M
11 M. Bassouamina M
7 M. Sylla F
10 K. Boutaïb F
Bench (7)
28 L. Pirringuel
18 O. Ngom
23 J. Obiang
70 C. Boli
40 M. Jeannin
17 A. Batisse
19 O. Kanté

Coach: N. Usaï

Grenoble

4-3-3
1 B. Maubleu G
39 M. Tourraine D
5 A. Monfray D
4 M. Diarra D
29 G. Paquiez D
20 B. Isola M
6 D. Rigo M
8 J. Benet M
19 L. Joseph F
7 P. Meïssa Ba F
11 A. Sbaï F
Bench (7)
10 E. Sylvestre
22 N. Thio
17 V. Postolachi
14 L. Nestor
16 B. Allain
2 A. Sanyang
77 A. Mendy

Coach: V. Hognon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,19
U
3,25
B
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.